Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Taiwan and South Korea have officially leapfrogged Western markets in valuation growth this year… TSMC now accounts for a staggering 40% of Taiwan’s total market capitalization, creating a single-point-of-failure scenario… Michael Burry and other macro bears are publicly drawing parallels between the current AI debt frenzy and the 1999 dot-com bubble… Foreign capital is fleeing …
Bulls deny that there’s a 1990s-style bubble in AI. There are a few striking similarities, and some notable differences. Is it karma? Coincidence? Either way, the ghost of the dot-com bubble is back 25 years later. Shares in Cisco Systems CSCO -1.85%decrease; red down pointing triangle, the dot-com-era champion that became the world’s most valuable …
2000 had real demand too – internet adoption was exploding. Problem was business models + burn rates, not infrastructure alone. Today: AI has use cases BUT most revenue is still B2B SaaS selling shovels, not gold. Capex is real, ROI still unproven at scale. — klos (@klos) October 19, 2025
by Michael Once in a while, something comes along that completely blows me away. Right now, there is a theory about Charlie Kirk’s assassination that is spreading like wildfire on social media. I decided to look into it, and the deeper that I dug the more I kept finding. In this article, I am going to …
Nasdaq 100: Risk off! The 5-week MA just crossed below the 50-week MA. Last time this happened, we saw a continuation of the downward trend. pic.twitter.com/ZNfIy7bXmR — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) March 31, 2025 Ignore the mass layoffs, they’re not the story. Capital is rotating into oil, aerospace & defense – a lot of short-cycle, defensive …
BOFA WARNS OF CHINA STOCK CORRECTION, COMPARING IT TO 2015 CRASH BofA strategists say China’s stock rally could face a “meaningful correction soon,” drawing parallels to the 2015 boom and bust cycle, as per Bloomberg. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and MSCI China Index… pic.twitter.com/OVCpOck1nR — Wall St Engine (@wallstengine) March 19, 2025
Late to this party but this is wrong under any reading of the convertible notes prospectus. If the stock is below the conversion price, noteholders get their principal and accrued interest paid back in cash, not stock The fact he is saying this only feeds the “docs don’t matter, fiat don’t matter, equity don’t matter …
MAGA landslide. Here’s what amnesiacs don’t remember: In November 2016 when Trump won his first election, the S&P futures collapsed limit down overnight. Then Europe opened and the market started coming back and by the U.S. open it was green. That early morning was the LOW of the next year. Last night we saw the …
* The U.S. Stock Market is beginning to look as vulnerable as it was in 1974 (Nifty Fifty) and 2000 (https://t.co/kyaXDnq5WV) – similar periods of narrowness in market leadership and participation* The supporting actor in this cycle is market structure – in which traders,… https://t.co/V4VjlInhET — Dougie Kass (@DougKass) July 2, 2024 though we did …
Watergate reporter Carl Bernstein claims Biden’s staffers have witnessed up to 20 ‘marked incidence of cognitive decline and physical infirmity’ in the ailing president in the last 18 months Bernstein says multiple sources describe Biden’s declining mental health Said events like the ones at the debate Thursday have occurred ’15 to 20′ times ‘We’re clearly dealing with two …
BREAKING: Stanley Druckenmiller sold 30% of his Nvidia stake. Says he could see A.I. stocks dropping 80% like 2000. https://t.co/NVNP8E6PJS pic.twitter.com/bvPEOC01Fu — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) May 8, 2024 BARRON’S Nvidia Stock Slips. Why AI Chip Plays Are Having a Tougher Time.
Reflecting on 1980’s economic conditions reveals striking similarities with today’s environment, from soaring interest rates to a divided economy. Key points: Fed Chair Paul Volcker raised the Fed Funds Rate to 14% by January 1980, with mortgage rates peaking near 20%. Despite high rates, home prices remained high due to stubborn sellers, demographic trends, and …
On Friday’s broadcast of the Fox Business Network’s “Maria Bartiromo’s Wall Street,” Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party Chairman Rep. Mike Gallagher (R-WI) argued that there are “startling parallels” between the investments in subprime mortgages in 2008 and American investments in China and argued that businesses are not sufficiently disclosing or factoring in the …