Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
One of the fastest technical bounces in history leaves bears in the dust… Forward 12-month earnings growth hits 25% as “AI capex” ignores Gulf war… Morgan Stanley: “The market waits for no one once it decides to move”… Median company earnings join double-digit surge; small-caps finally catch a bid… https://www.morganstanley.com/insights/podcasts/thoughts-on-the-market/us-stock-market-remaining-bullish-mike-wilson
This billionaire just warned the debt is unsustainable and he expects forced sell-offs and a wave of deals that leaves only the strong standing. “…There’s billions and billions of refinancing required just to keep these things sustainable. When does enough become enough for some of the big banks?”….” https://t.co/gcMSQZcEki — kristen shaughnessy (@kshaughnessy2) April 22, …
Investors are currently sitting on cash levels of just 3.3 percent, the lowest point in years, which means there is no dry powder left to sustain this rally. This extreme positioning exposes a massive vulnerability where any slight negative catalyst will trigger a stampede for the exits. Korea is now imploding. Check the box. pic.twitter.com/GeJkQAeAT1 …
Rewinding the chart back to 1970 shows this can result in either a long-term top (1980), or a strong continuation (1972 – 73). Let price action dictate. pic.twitter.com/feDPOUNxBk — Christopher Aaron (@iGlobalGold) September 30, 2025
Friendly reminder: the 129-year-old Dow Theory flipped bearish back on March 14, 2025. The "things that make shit index" $DJI is pushing higher, but the "things that move shit index" $DJT is not confirming. Without confirmation, the "oldest market signal" is still flashing a… pic.twitter.com/4nMsCYel6O — Kurt S. Altrichter, CRPS® (@kurtsaltrichter) September 10, 2025 https://twitter.com/TommyThornton/status/1965790936849633290 …
The 30-year Treasury yield just pierced the 5% ceiling again. That line has held for two decades. Every time it’s tested, the bond market snaps back. April 6 was the last time it happened. Stocks dipped. Bonds rallied. Today looks like a rerun. The yield hit 5.01% before retreating to 4.91% by close. That’s the …
SPY RSI Forecast: currently close to but not yet in the overbought territory. byu/kmmeow1 inGenerationalRiches Ran across this RSI Forecast Open-Source Script on TradingView today. Applied it towards SPY. Currently SPY’s 14 period RSI is close to but not yet in the overbought territory, and is staying above its Moving Average. This algorithm gave a …
The NASDAQ is getting very overbought now pic.twitter.com/z17pmfybR7 — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) May 2, 2025 Small caps stuck from breaking out. Not a broad rally. Market breadth as measured by New New Highs across NYSE & Nasdaq markets has been mostly flat. This rally is not “hated”— it is suspect. pic.twitter.com/fd5ctBBur4 — tom 🖍 …
That's the week. Bulls just bought the right shoulder of a head and shoulder top that is equally overbought now as it was on the left shoulder. The "E" stands for Tech earnings. Have a great weekend everyone. pic.twitter.com/PfRP5cq92h — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) April 25, 2025 Just a few days to go in the month. This …
There it is, the Nasdaq is two years overbought. Same as last July when it imploded. pic.twitter.com/W3WL0fdOJ4 — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) April 24, 2025 The last three days have “relief rally” written all over it. I see no real progress on anything tariff related. Just a bunch of hopium. — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) April 25, 2025 …
Bulls refuse to capitulate, which makes this a very dangerous market. The volume oscillator has been a very accurate indicator for when a rally can be bought for more than just a few days. pic.twitter.com/nUQo9Efvc8 — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) April 24, 2025 Trump was just caught in another market manipulating lie. Yesterday stocks were bid on …
Market overvalued ✅Market overbought ✅Bearish price action confirmation ✅ pic.twitter.com/G9f275GkAt — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) April 1, 2025 Linkhttps://t.co/uFMsfLLbSj pic.twitter.com/0CnpwQeJ5J — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) April 1, 2025 ISM Prices Paid pic.twitter.com/q2t24pHB4d — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) April 1, 2025 Bond investors are worried: The 2-year breakeven inflation rate has jumped to 3.27%, the highest since the March …
This is not looking good. MicroStrategy has a history of experiencing deep drawdowns when the RSI(14) monthly reaches extreme levels (above 80), followed by a negative month. Combine this with the speculative and euphoric momentum… pic.twitter.com/T7s3lqVSZ4 — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) December 26, 2024 IRONY: bitcoin's fate now in the hands of a bunch of 'boomer' …
Anyone who thinks this continues until the end of the year is smoking crack and/or your typical investment advisor. pic.twitter.com/QLqcgJr0tD — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) November 20, 2024 Flight to safety intensifies. https://t.co/VKUtt0tWsh pic.twitter.com/Yp57HNCMQg — The Great Martis (@great_martis) November 20, 2024 U.S. momentum peaks; billionaires and banks hoard cash. Bubble burst incoming. 🚨BREAKING NEWS🚨 THE U.S …
Tech is the most overbought since August 2020. And then it dropped straight line -15% back to the 50 dma. pic.twitter.com/4GI2YPnfEr — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) June 18, 2024 In April, semis rolled over with the rest of the Nasdaq. This time, the Nasdaq has rolled over while semis have made new highs. Which will make this …
Going into this past week, the highest Nvidia daily call volume was 5 million set in March of this year. This past week, it surpassed that record four times. The highest call volume on record was Friday, almost 10 million. I think we're seeing PEAK AI. pic.twitter.com/Uy36eqjJ5N — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) June 16, 2024 https://twitter.com/MichaelAArouet/status/1802658401056367089 Core …
Nasdaq’s prolonged overbought status, extending six months, raises concerns. Comparisons between December and April suggest that while December’s overbought condition resulted in an oversold selloff, April’s less pronounced overbought state triggered a more significant market downturn. The Nasdaq is also six months overbought. What we see is that in December, that overbought reading led to …
Low beta and value includes sectors like energy, materials, mining, insurance… h/t mrmrmrj
Ok, that's the week. Bulls, we'll see you next week. Bears, you should not have capitulated. pic.twitter.com/TFNG6fGZ3m — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) March 8, 2024 Key reversal of fortune. Highest down day volume since the 2022 bear market. pic.twitter.com/BZsVrtT7j3 — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) March 9, 2024 The third bull trap. pic.twitter.com/G5n7daMKLy — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) March 8, 2024 …
Bulls, there are four bubbles in this picture. Can you spot any of them? pic.twitter.com/N2EFWNsXJ9 — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) March 5, 2024 Semis are 20 years overbought and Powell is speaking. This is why I watch markets. I'm out of Netflix. pic.twitter.com/uPno02WPBe — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) March 4, 2024 Microstrategy said they're selling convertible bonds to buy …
A CNBC technical analyst claims that Nvidia is deeply overbought and due for a correction:https://t.co/VUEOkCUutx What proof do they have? pic.twitter.com/yf693KJRlw — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) January 24, 2024 The belief of the day is that the rest of the market will soon catch up to the major indices. The reality of the day is that the …
Only 28% of S&P 500 stocks are outperforming the overall $SPX, the lowest amount since 1998 and the 2nd lowest in the last 33 years 👀 pic.twitter.com/E8tXbbhAlR — Barchart (@Barchart) December 25, 2023 S&P 500 $SPX has now spent the most amount of time in overbought levels since late 2019/early 2020 pic.twitter.com/rvKvAFS9Yd — Barchart (@Barchart) …
The stock market is currently experiencing its most overbought conditions since the early days of the pandemic, with traders displaying a fervent appetite for bullish options contracts. This surge in bullish sentiment is reminiscent of the situation leading up to the 2008-09 recession, raising concerns among seasoned analysts. A striking comparison can be drawn between …
Overnight, Bitcoins got spanked. In the lower pane we see that Bitcoin became overbought at +20% above the 50 dma. Each time that has happened, it pulled back below the 50 dma, on average -10%. Which implies a -30% decline at minimum. pic.twitter.com/xNRCilkele — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) December 11, 2023
As Thanksgiving approaches, the financial markets reflect a robust performance, with the S&P 500 ETF ($SPY) marking an 8.8% increase for the month and a remarkable 20.3% gain for the year. The Nasdaq 100 ($QQQ) outshines, boasting an impressive 47.1% surge. Global stock funds experience a notable influx, attracting around $40 billion in the two …
