Fed liquidity drops $409bn, hitting lowest since December 2022. Reverse Repo increased $213bn on December 31 for window-dressing. Fed liquidity will decline, stressing funding markets until mid-2025.
From my perspective, the main takeaway is that Fed liquidity has been locked into a “stair-stepping downwards” pattern since April 2024. Starting from a new lower base at the beginning of every quarter. The “stealth QE” that occurred during 2023 is now being wiped away. From now on, Fed liquidity will likely continue to generally …