Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
US TRADE DEFICIT WIDENS, CAPPING ONE OF BIGGEST SINCE 1960 The U.S. trade deficit widened to $70.3 billion in December, pushing the full-year gap to $901.5 billion — among the largest since 1960, Commerce Department data showed. Imports rose 3.6% in December, while exports fell 1.7%. Economists had expected a $55.5 billion deficit. The goods …
https://twitter.com/spice1975503/status/1992215378181619837 Major retailers warn of slowing consumer spending and cut forward orders Nov 19 (Reuters) – Target (TGT.N), opens new tab reported a bigger-than-expected drop in comparable sales on Wednesday and offered a wide range of profit outcomes for its holiday quarter, as it cuts prices and makes investments to appeal to cash-strapped U.S. consumers. …
Nvidia's losses accelerate to -5% on the day, now down -16% since Monday's high. That marks a drop of -$800 BILLION since Monday byu/RobertBartus inEconomyCharts U.S. stocks rebounded from session lows on Friday as hope for an end to the monthlong government shutdown offset continued weakness in tech stocks. Still, all three major indexes snapped …
Jobless Claims since Liberation Day. Getting uglier and uglier by the day. pic.twitter.com/IVG4kLtcvz — Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) September 11, 2025 Initial jobless claims soared to 263,000 last week, the highest level in nearly four years. When does the “golden age” begin? pic.twitter.com/K29sYFDxCY — Republicans against Trump (@RpsAgainstTrump) September 11, 2025 Despite Trump claiming that the …
Jobless claims just hit 1.974 million. That’s the highest since November 2021. Not a bump. Not seasonal noise. It’s been climbing for weeks. Up another 38,000 this time. That’s not recovery. That’s erosion. “Continuing Jobless Claims went up by 38K to 1.974M for the week ending July 26.” https://www.fxstreet.com/news/us-initial-jobless-claims-rose-to-226k-last-week-202508071234 “Continuing claims soared by 38,000 to …
From a macro perspective the tariff policy outcome is far more important than the nuances of the big beautiful bill. Even with the China "deal" a couple weeks ago rates are still quite elevated, with the question ahead of whether further relief comes or we revert back. pic.twitter.com/96CKCNBmFm — Bob Elliott (@BobEUnlimited) May 22, 2025 …
S&P 500 at the Great Liberation Day Divide pic.twitter.com/mhRfSFfXyt — Michael J. Kramer (@MichaelMOTTCM) April 25, 2025 Bank Of America’s Hartnett – Sell U.S. stock rallies and buy the dip on everything else. — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) April 25, 2025 Technicians are pointing to a rare technical indicator called the "Zweig Breadth Thrust" which purportedly has …
Retail is going all in. pic.twitter.com/Gj452YIQke — THE SHORT BEAR (@TheShortBear) April 24, 2025 A lot of resistance in this region, from technicals to gamma, even hy spreads pic.twitter.com/clVN38XA3u — Michael J. Kramer (@MichaelMOTTCM) April 24, 2025 Bottom calls everywhere again. Still below 200 EMA with gaps unfilled. With brevity. It's a mess. Many perma-bull …
Rand Paul leads Senate push to repeal Trump ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs https://t.co/przddClpEq — Washington Examiner (@dcexaminer) April 9, 2025 Paul is joining Sen. Ron Wyden (D-OR) and five other Democrats to introduce a measure that ends the emergency declaration Trump used to levy a wave of tariffs as high as 50% on dozens of nations. …
President Trump just declared “Liberation Day” and launched sweeping new tariffs. Investors panicked worldwide as corporations published dire predictions of the bumpy road ahead. Today we take a deep dive into the pros and cons of Trump’s “Liberation Day” strategy – and reveal the secret back door to the financial bomb shelter the President left …
High interest rates have been battering consumers for years. And there’s been a lot of pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower its benchmark interest rate, since that should result in lower consumer borrowing costs across the board. But in March, the Fed opted to keep its benchmark interest rate steady. The Fed hasn’t nudged …
by Mike Shedlock Across-the-board tariffs of up to 20% are back on the table ahead of April 2 “Liberation Day”. Trump Team Weighs Broader, Higher Tariffs Futures were down sharply overnight on still more conflicting tariff statements from Trump. As I type the Dow is back in the green and the S&P has recovered most …
President Trump has begun the process of rebalancing U.S. trade by imposing tariffs. Now, we’ve discussed the long-term goals and the long-term benefits we may see. Here’s why a higher cost of living is a small price to pay… By Peter Reagan One of the primary reasons that Donald Trump gave during the 2024 presidential …
Syria is a complete mess. People are being dragged through the streets and beaten to death. This is what “liberation” looks like. pic.twitter.com/T6SKIs70ne — Ian Miles Cheong (@ianmiles) December 10, 2024 https://twitter.com/jacksonhinklle/status/1866617309059748156
🇳🇪 THOUSANDS are gathered in Niger's capital city to support the LIBERATION of Africa from France. pic.twitter.com/ev4VTKBIGU — Jackson Hinkle 🇺🇸 (@jacksonhinklle) August 6, 2023 The man on the left seeks to overthrow the men on the right in a French-financed proxy war in West Africa. pic.twitter.com/X73l3nNYvo — Jackson Hinkle 🇺🇸 (@jacksonhinklle) August 6, 2023
