juncture:

Otavio (Tavi) Costa: Today, a new set of structural pressures has brought the US dollar to a critical juncture.

No major economy in the world today is pursuing such an aggressively expansionary fiscal policy while shouldering an unsustainable cost of debt service. pic.twitter.com/J7QOca997s — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) December 9, 2024 This trajectory, in our view, is untenable and will inevitably lead to policies of interest rate suppression and constrained government spending—signaling a pivotal …

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China’s economy at a critical juncture: Q3 growth at 4.9%, Real Estate Market down 81% (2021-2022) and 64% (2023), Shanghai Composite tests 20-year ‘Fate Line.’

China’s economy is teetering at a “critical stage,” expanding a modest 4.9% in Q3, below the five percent target. The aftermath of draconian Covid measures persists despite their removal in 2022. Surprisingly, an economic model reliant on debt-fueled construction faces challenges. Ghost cities, idle airports, and vacant skyscrapers showcase the limitations of this approach. China’s …

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