Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
China's Shanghai Composite index just soared over 8% today ALONE. This puts the index up over 20% in 5 days, more than DOUBLE the average S&P 500 ANNUAL return. This would be like the S&P 500 going from 5,000 to 6,000 in one week. Truly unprecedented. pic.twitter.com/NcuzPA0o9s — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) September 30, 2024 …
For all the cries to "get out of cash," investors are doing the opposite, still piling into money-market funds. Cash-like funds reported $121 billion of flows in the past week, the biggest flow since March 2023, bringing total assets to $6.42 trillion. https://t.co/crqbzAvkay pic.twitter.com/UN3bJjuwdW — Lisa Abramowicz (@lisaabramowicz1) September 27, 2024
Credit & stock markets pricing in 250bps rate cuts and 18% SPX EPS growth between now and end-2025…don’t get much better than that for risk so investors forced to chase. – BofA pic.twitter.com/OYr3EKJZbR — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) September 25, 2024 Nvidia and Apple account for over 20% of the average retail investor's portfolio. pic.twitter.com/MiGahSKhdY …
"FMS investors have predicted worsening profits for two months in a row." – BofA Hartnett pic.twitter.com/LDOHf9m49q — Daily Chartbook (@dailychartbook) September 18, 2024 “FMS investors” typically refers to participants in the Fund Manager Survey (FMS) conducted by institutions like Bank of America. This survey gathers insights from global fund managers to gauge their outlook on …
NVDA’s stock price experienced significant declines following its earnings Day 1: NVDA’s stock price declined by 2% ahead of its earnings report, likely due to caution and uncertainty among investors. Day 2: Despite reporting good earnings, NVDA’s stock price dropped by 6.38%. Day 3: The market rallied, with semi-conductor peers rising 5-10%, while NVDA’s stock …
Until Tuesday 27th August 2024, the Boungou and Wahgnion gold mines in Burkina Faso were owned by an African mining company. However Ouagadougou has agreed a deal to nationalise the mines for around $80 million. Endeavour Mining, which agreed to sell Boungou and Wahgnion to Lilium last year for more than $300 million, had accused …
According to a recent report by Clever Real Estate, nearly half (42%) of residential real estate investors have reported losing more money than they’ve made in real estate investing. The study also found that 90% of investors have lost money on at least one investment. Source: https://metroatlantaceo.com/news/2024/07/90-real-estate-investors-have-lost-money-investment/ https://finance.yahoo.com/news/90-real-estate-investors-lost-124100763.html https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/90-of-real-estate-investors-have-lost-money-on-an-investment-302203550.html
Can’t sell your house if no one knows it’s for sale. Man steals roughly $5,000-worth of real estate signs, undersheriff says ANTRIM COUNTY, Mich., (WPBN/WGTU) — The Antrim County Sheriff’s Office is asking for the public’s help to identify a sign thief. Investigators said a man has been stealing thousands of dollars worth of real …
Investor Purchases Surge to 2-Year High Investors bought 1 of every 6 U.S. homes that sold, purchasing $43 billion worth of properties, and 1 of every 4 low-priced homes that sold. SEATTLE – Investor purchases of U.S. homes rose 3.4% year over year in the second quarter – the largest increase since the second quarter …
Risk appetite has fallen for a third successive month in August … down to a one-year low of -10% in August from -5% in July pic.twitter.com/s9jGWi2DOw — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) August 14, 2024 Investors increased allocation to bonds, cash, and healthcare … and reduced allocation to equities, Japan, Eurozone, and materials pic.twitter.com/z1TKlEbaF2 — Win …
Foreign investors have pulled a record ÂŁ12bn out of China in an economic blow for President Xi Jinping. Fears over the future of the world’s second largest economy meant foreign investors withdrew $14.8bn (ÂŁ11.6bn) between April and June, data from the State Administration of Foreign Exchange shows. It was only the second time more foreign …
There are signs of exhaustion in margin expansion, prompting investors to seek more clarity about the earnings impact from heavy capital expenditures (capex) on AI. This trend has been noted by analysts, such as Konstantinos Venetis from TS Lombard, who highlighted that the pressure on margins is prompting investors to look closely at how significant …
Of course Julian Emanuel (Sr Director of Derivatives) wants everyone to stay fully invested. He fails to explain derivatives speculation in small caps while mega caps sell off is always how the market finishes the economic cycle right before collapse.https://t.co/C0RiBmR3J6 — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) July 31, 2024 I'm shocked people think rates will go down instead …
"US data consistency surprising to the downside since May has re-kindled recession concerns among US credit investors." – BofA Seliger pic.twitter.com/I4Wkn40UWg — Daily Chartbook (@dailychartbook) July 29, 2024 "The US economy is slowing, which is just fine with the Fed," per Bloomberg. — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) July 29, 2024 BREAKING: Personal saving rate declined to 3.4% …
EUPHORIC SENTIMENT IS AN UNDERSTATEMENT: US households and professional Investors are all-in stocks. Fund Managers are the most bullish EVER. Insiders are selling shares like crazy. Retail investors YOLO-ing NVIDIA stock. This is incredible.👇https://t.co/CtDDeknZSF — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) July 12, 2024 The 1-month implied correlation index is now 3.1… can it get any more …
"NVDA has excited investors over the last 5 years almost as much as CSCO in the back half of the 90s and into early 2000."@DataTrekMB pic.twitter.com/dLTNi1aXfg — Daily Chartbook (@dailychartbook) July 11, 2024 So we had a significant inflection is rates expectations today with cuts brought forward and 3 cuts priced in for 24, yet …
Tens of billions of dollars of etf inflows. Bitcoin casino has topped. — Peter Spina âš’ GoldSeek | SilverSeek (@goldseek) July 8, 2024
80% of landlords in a recent ResiClub-Groundfloor Housing Investor Survey expressed concern about future increases in home insurance premiums. Among them, 37% are very concerned. These rising premiums are not limited to coastal states; even homeowners in Indiana and Iowa saw their average home insurance rates rise by 12.2% and 13.5%, respectively, in 2023. The surge is attributed to factors like climate risk and housing and construction inflation, which have driven up replacement and …
The break will be hard. And fast. And take everyone by surprise. pic.twitter.com/kk26gMoGBN — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) July 8, 2024 12m forward EPS est have surged to $260 (blend '24/'25), while actual earnings have been *flat* around $225 for ~2yrs. Plus paying 21x fwd, levels only seen in the tech bubble at these bond yields. pic.twitter.com/JcFgZhs7PJ …
Investors are now selling at a loss in Florida’s Housing Market, with the Zillow Value estimates on some listings collapsing as much as 30%. Indeed, the seasonally-adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of May was 481,000, marking the highest level since January 2008. This surge in inventory is a result of rising …
Investors are starting to worry France could default on its sovereign debt 🍿🍿 https://t.co/P3V8ESa9Y8 — Peter St Onge, Ph.D. (@profstonge) June 27, 2024
Overseas investors have been selling Chinese stocks for eight consecutive days, marking the longest streak since October. During this period, they offloaded a total of 30 billion yuan ($4.1 billion) on a net basis via the northbound link between Hong Kong and mainland stock exchanges. Kweichow Moutai, a prominent stock, experienced significant selling, with the …
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-06-06/real-estate-investors-face-crisis-as-big-wall-street-deals-unravel Syndicators made big purchases that are unraveling with high interest rates, adding distress to an already troubled US property market. Nathe started following a wealth influencer named Mir Jafer Ali Joffrey, who went by the nickname “Buck.” He had an earlier career as a cosmetic surgeon, with a Chicago-area clinic that offered liposuction and …
Retail investors are pulling out of stocks amid signs of economic slowdown, reflecting a shift towards caution. Many are tapping into savings and reducing stock exposure, signaling a realization of economic challenges ahead. While some investors remain bullish, a majority are opting for safer options, avoiding unnecessary risks. This will either go higher, or explode …
Payment For Order Flow (PFOF) involves brokerage firms receiving compensation for directing customer orders to certain market makers or parties for execution. This practice is akin to front running, where someone executes trades based on advance knowledge of pending orders from other parties, effectively taking advantage of the market. Front running is generally considered unethical …
Investors are facing a challenging market with substantial upside potential in stocks but also the highest long-term risk since 1999. Stagflation warnings have been issued since early 2023, with signs indicating a severe and long-lasting stagflationary period ahead. Central banks are trapped between inflationary and liquidity crises, exacerbated by underreported inflation and the rise of …
Tesla’s recent earnings stumble, coupled with its first year-over-year sales drop, casts a shadow over the electric vehicle giant. Despite bold initiatives like the Cybertruck launch and pricing adjustments, revenue plummeted by 9% in Q1, prompting investor alarm. Despite Tesla's efforts, including the launch of the Cybertruck and refreshing the Model 3 with lower prices …
(Bloomberg) — South Korea is emerging as a closely watched weak link in the $63 trillion world of shadow banking. Real estate exposure has been showing cracks at home and abroad after interest rates rose, prompting financial firms including T. Rowe Price Group Inc. and Nomura Holdings Inc. to express concern about stress in shadow …
