Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
by confoundedinterest17 Was Freddie King correct? Is the US economy going down?? The US Treasury yield curve (10Y-2Y) has inverted to the positive side after a prolonged NEGATIVE inversion (from July 6, 2022 to Sept 5, 2024) marking the longest period of negative inversion since August 18, 1978 – May 1, 1980. Each negative inversion was …
The economic landscape is marked by several concerning indicators, as evidenced by the S&P 500 margins trending lower, reflecting potential challenges for companies. The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) reports a deterioration in sales, indicating a worsening scenario for small businesses. Additionally, a growing number of companies are expressing concerns about weak demand, adding …
by confoundedinterest17 Jared Bernstein was VP Joe Biden’s former Chief Economist and is now chair of the United States Council of Economic Advisers. Pretty impressive! Except that Bernstein is not really an economist. He has a PhD in social welfare from Columbia University. In other words, Bernstein is a Progressive Marxist cheerleader, not a real …
by confoundedinterest17 I have never seen anything like this. The US Treasury 10Y-2Y yield curve is deep in inversion and has had a negative slope for 265 straight days. Bidenomics is born under a bad sign! On the commodities front, heating oil is up almost 2% this morning and nickel (an important element in Biden’s green …