The Household Survey, indicating weaker job data, may reflect the economic cycle’s downturn; Initial jobless claims at 14-month high.

Ahead of tomorrow’s jobs data, this is critical knowledge to have. The Household Survey, which produces the unemployment rate and has been appreciably weaker than the Establishment Survey, which generates nonfarm payrolls, because it’s PROCYLICAL, it’s picking up the cycle’s end. https://t.co/kE2FRuOw8p — Danielle DiMartino Booth (@DiMartinoBooth) April 4, 2024 ⚠️ Initial claims for state …

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NVIDIA experiences record P/S ratio at 35x, indicating overbought conditions and potential reversal.

Ok, that's the week. Bulls, we'll see you next week. Bears, you should not have capitulated. pic.twitter.com/TFNG6fGZ3m — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) March 8, 2024 Key reversal of fortune. Highest down day volume since the 2022 bear market. pic.twitter.com/BZsVrtT7j3 — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) March 9, 2024 The third bull trap. pic.twitter.com/G5n7daMKLy — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) March 8, 2024   …

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Recent technicals on the market are bearish, indicating a potential downturn in the near future.

% bullish (lower pane) is making a double top on the right shoulder, deja vu of the left shoulder. Note the correlation between Bitcoins and Internet stocks. pic.twitter.com/LPcMqilKR5 — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) December 21, 2023 S&P 500: The odds in my analysis favor that the intermediate top is in or very near. The recent euphoria is …

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Atlanta Fed forecasts Q4 US GDP to be 2.3% indicating economy is finally cooling off whereas Cleveland forecast inflation to go 3.3% YoY.

by DesmondMilesDant The data released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis on October 26th showed that real GDP growth in the third quarter was 4.9 percent, 0.5 percentage points below the final GDPNow model nowcast released on October 25th. This suggests that inflationary pressures may be starting to build in the economy and could …

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US credit card debt has reached a record high of $1 trillion dollars, with an average interest rate of 20.63 percent, indicating a potential debt crisis.

US records highest credit card debt level at $1.03 trillion, 4.6% increase from Q2, with 20.63% interest rate, 47% cardholders carry monthly balances, and $7,227 average debt, with Connecticut and New York having the highest. ✅ US credit card debt surpassed the one trillion dollar mark and is now at the highest level ever recorded …

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Market nears bearish MACD cross, indicating downward momentum; Volatility is back; We’re not seeing flat closes. We’re seeing down closes.

The market is on the brink of a weekly bearish MACD cross Signaling a downward shift in momentum This week's close will be crucial pic.twitter.com/XH14SmzsSU — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) August 17, 2023 MARKETS ABSOLUTELY POLEAXED INTO THE CLOSE; CORRECTION TERRITORY FOR EQUITIES LOOMS * — The_Real_Fly (@The_Real_Fly) August 17, 2023 The S&P 500 just broke …

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Energy stocks are 5% below highs, indicating oil’s potential return of 48%, impacting Fed policy and financial markets. Rate hikes probability decreases, but odds of rate cuts drop, with no cuts until May 2024.

Energy stocks are only 5% away from recent highs. If historical correlations matter, it is hard to believe oil won't follow the same path. That alone would imply a 48% return from its current levels. As a crucial contributor to inflation, rising energy costs could have a… pic.twitter.com/fBZ60dhWlO — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) August 11, …

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US spends 44% of GDP annually, comparable to World War 2, indicating fiscal deterioration and unsustainable government spending, surpassing 2008 levels.

Since the debt ceiling crisis, the US has already added nearly $1.5 trillion in debt. Meanwhile, tax receipts are down sharply this year. We are spending more and making less, a recipe for disaster. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops. — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) August 6, 2023 US Government To …

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American credit rejection rate rises to 21.8%, highest since June 2018, indicating tougher borrowing conditions.

Credit Crunch Alert! Rejection rate for Americans applying for credit – whether it’s a mortgage, new car loan, or a credit card – increased to 21.8%, the highest level since June 2018.  Borrowing money is getting tougher, folks! — Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) August 2, 2023 https://t.co/KWFwz5TumF — Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) August 2, 2023 The …

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Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index drops to -20 in July, indicating sharp contraction

Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index plummets to -20 in July, signaling sharp contraction in the regions mfg activity. pic.twitter.com/98y7PpgAn1 — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) July 27, 2023 Kansas Fed Composite Index edges up to -11 in July from -12 in June, but don't be deceived by modest gains. The economy remains entrenched in weakness. Beneath the surface, …

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US government interest payments on federal debt surpass defense spending, indicating a trend towards increased debt costs, potentially constraining fiscal agendas.

The US government interest payments on the Federal debt are now higher than the annual defense spending. This is likely the initial stages of a trend, and if no solutions are implemented, other components of the fiscal agenda may soon be constrained by the escalating cost of… pic.twitter.com/hBY2haxNyG — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) July 20, …

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German Yield Curve inverted, indicating recession, 6.1% inflation, PMI contraction.

“The German Yield Curve is the mot inverted its been in over 31 years. This may signal an impending recession. Also the German economy: -6.1% Inflation -Contraction in PMI from May to June -GDP forecasted to fall in Q2” Source: https://t.co/kognkNxLL6 — Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) June 27, 2023 “WSJ: Germany has become a drag …

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This proxy measure is below its lowest levels since 1998, indicating poor profit potential and fleeing deposits, limiting banks’ ability to lend.

“The last three recessions occurred when this proxy measure was at or near its lowest levels. The current reading is at or below any spread since at least 1998. Couple poor profit potential with fleeing deposits, and the banks’ ability or profit motivation to lend is minimal.” The last three recessions occurred when this proxy …

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