Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
by Michael Why is there so much excitement about an agreement with Iran that literally resolves none of the key issues that the two sides were fighting about? The long-term status of the Strait of Hormuz is not resolved. The war between Israel and Hezbollah is not resolved. Nobody seems to have any idea where …
View post on imgur.com “The Fourteenth Amendment has always excluded from birthright citizenship persons who were born in the United States but not “subject to the jurisdiction thereof.” ” h/t jlee2027
You forgot the most important step. Be pretty. Without that she'd still be a no name cashier at best buy. — 🇺🇸Patriot_Crusade🇺🇸 (@PatriotCrusadeV) May 8, 2026
43% chance crude oil reclaims $100 by the end of the month. https://t.co/fxIpcZ1ZJt — Polymarket (@Polymarket) April 19, 2026
U.S. and Iran are still communicating after talks collapsed, discussing a possible second round in Islamabad as early as this week before the April 21 ceasefire deadline The U.S. naval blockade is fully active, with minesweepers clearing mines in the Strait of Hormuz, while some Iran-linked ships still pass and overall shipping remains heavily suppressed …
JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon just dropped an UNEXPECTED take on Iran. “It’s much more important that this be successfully completed, than what the market does.” Dimon says the markets are unpredictable right now, but regardless, EVERYONE should be hoping for Trump to succeed in Iran. DIMON: “I think the market…you know, markets are unpredictable and …
By Peter Reagan I’m going to start with something that sounds like good news. Most of the truly catastrophic things we worry about… never actually happen. That’s not just optimism – it’s human experience. As Mark Twain supposedly said, most of the terrible things in his life never occurred. But here’s the problem. The things …
by Michael What a wild week it has been already. On Sunday night, I watched as the price of oil hit $116 a barrel. It was insane. Financial markets started to panic all over the world because investors know that if the price of oil stays above $100 a barrel for an extended period of …
It maps out EXACTLY which jobs AI is actively performing right now vs. which ones it COULD perform. Anthropic just published the most important study on AI and jobs. The researchers call it a "Great Recession for white-collar workers." It maps out EXACTLY which jobs AI is actively performing right now vs. which ones it …
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116155069503653714 “Most of those people are gone. Some of the people we were dealing with are gone, because that was a big—that was a big hit,” he told me. “They should have done it sooner, Michael. They could have made a deal. They should’ve done it sooner. They played too cute.” https://archive.is/MDKUy#selection-793.221-793.484
Lunar New Year is one of China’s biggest shopping holidays, and global luxury brands are using the 15-day celebration to try to reignite slowing demand. China accounted for more than one-third of global luxury spending in 2019, but that share dropped to 23% in 2025. As consumers welcome the Year of the Horse, brands like …
View post on imgur.com ICE is trying to enforce the law, and despite being blocked at every turn, they’re still out there putting themselves in harm’s way. 🚨 🇺🇸 ICE SAYS IT’S GETTING HARDER TO DO THEIR JOB: MIGRANT RAMS CARS TRYING TO ESCAPE So apparently an ICE operation went sideways when a migrant tried …
by Michael Are we on the brink of a worldwide nightmare? Many have described what we are currently experiencing as a “perfect storm”. We have been getting hit with one crisis after another as global events have greatly accelerated in recent months. But now it feels like the next chapter that we are entering is …
Funny how the “break in” only happens right when the spotlight hits. No stolen cash, no missing equipment, just vague claims about “important documents” and a damaged wall. When the audits start closing in, suddenly everyone’s a victim of mysterious burglars. That pattern is getting very familiar. So the vandals who are upset about fraud …
via Phoenix Capital Research The most important market in the world is signaling that inflation is returning to the financial system. The financial media (and most investors) like to focus on stocks because they are a volatile asset class and this volatility potentially translates to making a LOT of money quickly. However, the reality is …
Jennifer Welch: “l just think it’s really important to remind everybody all the time that Elon Musk is a fucking immigrant that doesn’t pay taxes who is a parasite off the American taxpayer” pic.twitter.com/BNhirAph69 — Marco Foster (@MarcoFoster_) December 9, 2025 Grok factcheck: Elon Musk is a naturalized US citizen (2002) who immigrated from South …
Another day, another security breach. This time, it’s OpenAI’s turn. Today, users are waking up to discover emails from OpenAI’s security team, confirming more security issues at the company. This one is a bit more egregious than previous breaches, exposing emails, names, and approximate locations of an undisclosed number of users. OpenAI claims that ChatGPT …
https://twitter.com/spice1975503/status/1991520334458343476 Noticing a growing number of Fed officials voicing concerns about private credit lately. But this one is esp notable where one of them is openly highlighting risks among life insurers (its largest investor base). If the Fed is concerned about lifers, things are quite serious. pic.twitter.com/sC3uUFrdKq — Mr. VIX (@yieldsearcher) November 20, 2025 Everything’s …
Under this plan laid out by Carville — After they pack the Supreme Court and add 2 new states and 4 new Democrat Senators — they will pass mass amnesty and citizenship for all 30 million Illegal Aliens. We have to end the Filibuster rule now.pic.twitter.com/AYilWBxwPB — Citizen Free Press (@CitizenFreePres) November 10, 2025 THE …
by Michael As we enter the month of November, a large number of critical puzzle pieces are starting to fall into place. Yesterday, I talked about the civil unrest that anti-Trump groups have planned in Washington DC starting on November 5th. That is one important element of the equation. The drama that is unfolding in the …
by Michael Just like that, it is over. From October 7th, 2023 to October 9th, 2025 we all watched as a horrifying war between Israel and Hamas played out. The death and destruction that we witnessed shocked the entire world. It has been estimated that over 67,000 people were killed, and countless more were seriously …
This is insane… NBC polled Gen Z (18-29) on what they consider important to have a successful life. Having Children:🔴 Men who voted Trump – #1🔵 Women who voted Harris – #12 (last) pic.twitter.com/CzOxYhwSCH — Geiger Capital (@Geiger_Capital) September 8, 2025
Five years ago, I was violently attacked and sexually assaulted in broad daylight in Washington, D.C., by a homeless man. He served time in federal prison for what he did to me. But if you look for evidence that the attack happened in the @DCPoliceDept crime statistics, you won’t… — Anna Giaritelli (@Anna_Giaritelli) August 14, …
by Michael Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin are about to make decisions that could radically alter the trajectory of human history. When they meet in Alaska on Friday, the stakes will be incredibly high. If they are able to agree to some sort of a deal, the world will rejoice. But if the meeting goes …
What is H.R 38? H.R. 38 is a revived bill that call for nation wide concealed carry reciprocity across all state lines. Now many will argue that the 2nd Amendment says that it shall not be infringed and that simply having to get a permit to carry is an infringement of that. This is a …
by Michael I literally feel sick right now. After waiting for years for the truth about Jeffrey Epstein’s sex trafficking operation to come out, and after months of being promised that stunning new information would be released soon, now we are being told to forget the entire thing. The people that were brought in to …
President Donald Trump said China “agreed to open” after the two countries agreed to temporarily slash most of the tariffs on each other’s goods. Trump said that was “maybe the most important thing” to come out of trade talks with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, U.S. trade representative Jamieson Greer and their Chinese counterparts. The U.S. …
by Michael Our current way of life could not continue without rare earth minerals. Every single day of our lives, all of us depend on technology that was built using rare earth minerals. In fact, the device that you are reading this article on right now probably contains rare earth minerals. Ultimately, rare earth minerals aren’t …
According to Interesting Engineering, the U.S. Department of Energy awarded a grant of $2.3 million to a team of scientists at the University of Kentucky so they can work to develop materials strong enough to survive the inside of a fusion reactor. Considering the inside of a fusion reactor can reach temperatures of 180 million …
