Ed Yardeni believes that the sell-off in Treasury bonds reflects widespread worry about the United States’ fiscal policy, particularly the growing federal budget deficits.

Everyone’s waiting to discover the level at which yields spur financial instability. From @kitjuckes this morning: “For now, the FX market is a bystander, watching Treasuries and waiting for them to break something.” — Lisa Abramowicz (@lisaabramowicz1) October 3, 2023 …

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Many Americans are experiencing financial hardship due to the rising expenses of basic needs including housing, transportation, and credit card debt. Personal income fails to keep up with spending for three months.

With the median mortgage payment exceeding the cost of rent by $1,000 per month and average new car payments and used car loan interest rates reaching new highs, households are feeling the strain of increasing expenses. The milestone of $1 …

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“Disinflation” Honeymoon is over! Wholesale inflation posts largest increase in 14 months as producer price index jumped .7% (economists predicted .4%) in August. The PPI report captures what companies pay for supplies, with these costs usually passed down to consumers. PPI + yesterday’s CPI = Inflation GROWING!

by Dismal-Jellyfish https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/ppi.pdf https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/WPSFD4&output_view=pct_1mth The Acceleration of Inflation in the Second Half Has Begun, “Disinflation” Honeymoon Terminated The Consumer Price Index (CPI) jumped by 0.63% in August from July, the biggest month-to-month increase since June 2022. Annualized, this amounts to a …

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Liquidity Fairy Alert! Up and up it goes! Bank Term Funding Program usage above $100B for the 13th consecutive week ($107.527B vs $107.386B 8/17). An over reliance on central bank funding that is growing faster than the rate of inflation, BTFP is a moral hazard!

by Dismal-Jellyfish Borrowing from the Bank Term Funding Program hit a NEW all time high–the 13th consecutive week above $100 billion! What we are monitoring: Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) Discount Window/Primary Credit “Other Credit Extensions” I hope to shed …

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In June, folks earned a bit more in, spent more, causing PCE, excluding food and energy (the Fed’s barometer for if inflation is still growing) to jump up .2% for the month and 4.1% year-over-year. Still more than DOUBLE the Fed’s target of 2%!

by Dismal-Jellyfish https://www.bea.gov/news/2023/personal-income-and-outlays-june-2023 Wut mean?: In June, people earned $69.5 billion more, which is a 0.3% monthly rise–more money earned more money to spend, adding to inflation… Prices of things people bought (PCE price index) went up slightly by 0.2%. Even …

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Inflation Alert! Despite a 3.0% increase in the overall index, excluding food and energy, inflation remains persistent as it rose by 4.8% over the past 12 months. While Corporate Media celebrates the headline, inflation is still growing and showing no signs of slowing!

by Dismal-Jellyfish Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm All items less food and energy: Inflation and Housing: The overall index for items excluding food and energy increased by 0.2% in June. The cost of housing, represented by the shelter index, rose by 0.4% in …

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Welcome To The United Banana Republics Of America! US Debt At $31.8 TRILLION And Growing Fast, Unfunded Liabiliities At $188 TRILLION, Personal Taxes Will Be Rising To Pay For This Outrageous Spending Splurge

by confoundedinterest17 Nicolas Maduro of Venezuela must be envious of Joe Biden. I don’t think even Maduro has the stones to have his politiical opponent charged with espionage in the run-up to a Presidential election. Particularly when the US President has been …

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