Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
The national median rent for apartments fell 1% in November from October, and now stands at $1,367, according to Apartment List. The national multifamily vacancy rate was 7.2% in November, a record high. The historic surge in multifamily construction over the past few years is now pulling back, but a good supply of new units …
Authored by Mike Shedlock via mishtalk, The battle is over inflation vs jobs, two vastly different opinions. Fed governor Stephen Miran was a senior White House adviser until his confirmation to the central bank board on September 15. Miran replaced Adriana Kugler as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors when she unexpectedly …
Bitcoin The cattle is excited over a 3% rise and will likely get more excited with a further 5% increase. Little do they know an 80% drop awaits them. Hope this helps. pic.twitter.com/PjcWJL0Yoa — The Great Martis (@great_martis) July 9, 2025 Microstrategy $MSTR is in for a wild ride. https://t.co/aOmYIOWpdn pic.twitter.com/iCqTh36gZo — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) July …
This is factual and it’s why a lot of lenders have scaled back and become more selective. Subprime customers are essentially priced out of the market — Mike C (@GiantsMC66) June 7, 2025 This is the first year in a LONG time I didn't raise rent on any rental units. The consumer is tapped out …
It’s now official. The euro has broken out above a key historical resistance level. FX trends often take time to develop, but once they do, they tend to persist for years. I expect this time to be no different, with the US dollar likely to weaken further against other… pic.twitter.com/KiCuLdQqcG — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) …
After a prolonged period of tight spreads and a downward trend, the high-yield spread has finally broken out. This is another critical chart sending an important message, further reinforcing a risk-off stance. pic.twitter.com/WJpDk7A4yx — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) March 31, 2025 Excellent interview. The recent drop in rates could be temporary once tariffs are implemented. They …
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said on Monday that while monetary policy “is now in a good place,” she wants to see data reflect more progress on inflation before cutting interest rates further. “I would like to gain greater confidence that progress in lowering inflation will continue as we consider making further adjustments to the …
The rally in $GOLD is unstoppable and has initiated the next surge, which may drive prices toward the $3,000 zone. The double bottom formation indicates positive momentum, which is likely to push prices higher. pic.twitter.com/2h3SWRHfYA — Gold Predictors (@GoldPredictors) January 22, 2025 With the new China banks’ #Gold accumulate product (Gold accounts at Chinese banks …
The purpose of giving Nye (who is not in fact a "science guy") this award was so that when he is mentioned in the media going forward he can be referred to as "Presidential Medal of Freedom winner Bill Nye" – how dare you question Nye, he's a PMF winner. https://t.co/Tfv1QfBNYL — William A. Jacobson …
US Debt Growing by $1000 billion every 100 days pic.twitter.com/O1UwAch94y — Willem Middelkoop (@wmiddelkoop) December 26, 2024 On the next advancing cycle in gold towards $2,900, I expect senior gold miners GDX test $48 mark. Gold $3,400, GDX to $65. This is my personal view… pic.twitter.com/kr0MTHUkGo — Rashad Hajiyev (@hajiyev_rashad) December 26, 2024 Behold the …
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -U.S. President Joe Biden on Tuesday imposed an immediate ban on Russian oil and other energy imports in retaliation for the invasion of Ukraine, amid strong support from American voters and lawmakers, even though the move will drive up U.S. energy prices. “We’re banning all imports of Russian oil and gas energy,” Biden …
Real estate institution allocations to fall further pic.twitter.com/0PitYGVzXa — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) November 18, 2024 This video goes through the biggest price cuts on Zillow right now across the US Housing Market. States such as Florida, Texas, and Arizona have sellers cutting the price on houses the most right now.
Judge blocks the sale of Infowars to The Onion! Auction house did some dirty things. Alex Jones explains.pic.twitter.com/yk3v6z6D5Z — Paul A. Szypula 🇺🇸 (@Bubblebathgirl) November 15, 2024 https://twitter.com/jasper_truth/status/1857206502224019930
BREAKING: Super Micro Computer stock, $SMCI, falls 27% after Ernst & Young announces they refuse to audit the company going forward. EY is "unwilling to be associated with the financial statements prepared by management," the statement said. Not a good look for SMCI. pic.twitter.com/oTi869K1v3 — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) October 30, 2024 Super Micro’s shares …
Key Points Fed Chair Jerome Powell said Monday that the recent half percentage point interest rate cut shouldn’t be interpreted as a sign that future moves will be as aggressive. “We are not on any preset course,” he told the National Association for Business Economics. Powell expressed confidence in economic strength and sees inflation continuing …
Israel rejects U.S. plan for Lebanon ceasefire https://t.co/QVItaFw78k — Newsweek (@Newsweek) September 26, 2024 🇮🇱🇱🇧ISRAELI COALITION REJECTS HEZBOLLAH CEASEFIRE PROPOSAL Hardline members of Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's coalition have dismissed U.S. and French calls for a 21-day ceasefire in Lebanon to facilitate diplomatic negotiations. Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich… https://t.co/RjMBoTcgxL pic.twitter.com/l3l1JV3mDd — Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) September …
(Bloomberg) — Gold traded steady near an all-time high as weak US data bolstered the case for deeper interest rate cuts. Bullion climbed to a record $2,670.57 an ounce earlier on Wednesday, before paring gains. A report on Tuesday showed US consumer confidence this month fell the most in three years. Swaps traders increased bets …
(Bloomberg) — The next US administration “must grapple with widening budget deficits,” warned Moody’s Ratings in a report published Tuesday, nearly a year after it announced a negative outlook for the country’s sovereign credit profile. “The administration’s tax and spending policies will affect the size of future budget deficits and the expected decline in US …
Bitcoin Continued major distribution below major support . Could backtest secondary trendline before falling away or could just collapse towards the primary trendline. Its a process. We await. https://t.co/AAEiVemjxJ pic.twitter.com/NkbfrdrW5E — The Great Martis (@great_martis) August 20, 2024
by Mike Shedlock Perhaps there is one more Democrat convention upswing, but it appears euphoria over Harris is fading. What’s going on? On August 14, Harris held a 56.7 percent to 42.7 percent edge over Trump. Harris lead is now down to 53.8 percent to 45.7 percent. Silver Bulletin Comments 🕒 Last update: 12:30 p.m., …
by Mike Shedlock The BEA’s initial GDI growth estimate for the first quarter was 1.5 percent, later revised to 1.2 percent. I expect further negative revisions. Here’s a “What if” take. The math is a bit complicated, and I made some assumptions that the BEA is in the ballpark with its starting point. So take …
Job postings are down Double digits 12.4 % year over year to lowest level since April 2021 . Throw out the 50 % below comparison as that was largely states reopening from Pandemic lockdown . The 11.7 above pre pandemic is absolutely anemic job creation and even that is mostly government and struggling families forced …
The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has recently updated its projections for the U.S. government’s budget deficit. Here are the key points: Fiscal Year 2024 Deficit: The projected deficit for fiscal year 2024 is $1.9 trillion. Adjusted to exclude certain payment timing effects, the deficit amounts to $2.0 trillion in 2024. Deficit Trend: The deficit is …
🚨🇾🇪 HOUTHIS ATTACK US AIRCRAFT CARRIER AGAIN Yemen's Houthi rebels have launched a second attack in 24 hours against the US aircraft carrier Dwight Eisenhower in the Red Sea, using missiles and drones, as per Houthi spokesperson Yahya Saria on Al Masirah TV. This recent… https://t.co/pTdDrM3llx pic.twitter.com/Um8Kw0yA6D — Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) June 2, 2024 Houthi …
#recession … #GFC2 US #manufacturing edition KC Fed leading index of new orders falls further into contraction 📉 👀 https://t.co/eiEe2sKxk3 pic.twitter.com/Jus16lkISa — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) May 23, 2024
Sam Altman is now chairman of a public company. But it’s not OpenAI. On Friday, advanced nuclear fission company Oklo started trading on the New York Stock Exchange. The company, which has yet to generate any revenue, went public through a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) called AltC Acquisition Corp., founded and led by Altman. …
Is the Fed heading towards another monetary policy mistake? "Perhaps, the Fed has no idea what is going on and their past policy mistakes can be taken as proof. If they indeed have no clue, how can anyone trust them?" 👇https://t.co/5SUCjKpcmZ — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) May 4, 2024
Brace for higher electricity bills as EPA rules demand costly changes to power plants. CNN’s Bill Weir declares Biden’s coal power plant rules mark the demise of coal energy in America. Key Points: EPA requires carbon capture tech for coal plants, starting 2032, to continue operating past 2039. Carbon capture captures CO2 emissions, but costs …
South Korean GDP growth is forecast to slowdown even further… pic.twitter.com/oNUDjXsN0F — Longview Economics (@Lvieweconomics) April 22, 2024
That's a whole lot of construction employees… 🚈 — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) April 21, 2024 Manufacturing Capacity Utilization w/12mma lag decreased to 78.97% in March pic.twitter.com/wv8uiHAuqE — MacroEdge (@MacroEdgeRes) April 21, 2024 Intriguing. pic.twitter.com/jY5G19CaT0 — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) April 21, 2024 h/t DesmondMilesDant