Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
We are in a recession! ⚠️This is HUGE: 1.2 MILLION people lost full-time jobs in the US in February, the 2nd-highest reading since the 2020 CRISIS. This comes after January upward revision of 2.4 million due to historic population adjustment. Is the US job market cracking?👇https://t.co/3owdJozuXU — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) April 1, 2025 🚨US …
Private credit default evolution according to Fitch: January: 5.0%February: 5.7% Nothing to see here folks pic.twitter.com/BiInWmLtWA — junkbondinvestor (@junkbondinvest) March 20, 2025
Used vehicles sold in the United States rose 16 percent from January to February “…this year’s 16% increase is the largest jump seen in recent years.” -Scott Vanner, Economic Analyst “A total of 1.57 million used vehicles were sold at retail—from both franchised and independent dealers—during February, up 6 percent year-over-year. February sales up 6% …
(NEXSTAR) – The causes of death for actor Gene Hackman and his wife Betsy Arakawa were released Friday after days of mystery and speculation. At a media conference Friday, Dr. Heather Jarell, chief medical examiner for New Mexico’s medical investigator office, identified Hackman’s cause of death as hypertensive and atherosclerotic cardiac disease, with Alzheimer’s disease …
by confoundedinterest17 In appreciation of German conservatives winning in their recent election, Citi’s economic surprise index fell to -7.80 in February. This is the remnant of Biden/Democrats horrible economic policies and fear of Trump’s tariff policies. Gold, Bitcoin and the S&P 500 are doing quite well on the prospects for growth in the US under …
Wow. Notable drop in consumer sentiment in February. American consumers do not like tariffs. "About one-third of consumers spontaneously mentioned tariffs, up from 27% last month and less than 2% prior to the election." "This is only the fifth time in 14 years we have seen such… pic.twitter.com/SpjN6uanoX — Heather Long (@byHeatherLong) February 7, 2025 …
PRESIDENT TRUMP: "We have informed the federal workforce that if they are working for the federal government, they must show up to the office on time and on schedule… If they don't agree by February 6 to show up back to work in their office, they will be terminated." pic.twitter.com/Kvu9ghYpvn — Rapid Response 47 (@RapidResponse47) …
$SPX Chart Update: I can envision maybe a little weakness to begin the week then dip buyers buy up to close the week before the inauguration on the 20th. So we can likely fill that Trump Bump gap around 5,782, maybe slightly overshoot to as low as 5,750 to hit that major support trendline before …
Corporate bankruptcies and defaults accelerating, unemployment continues to rise, and spreads blow out. Especially, after Powell said “we’ve avoided recession” and S&P Global is expecting the speculative-grade default rate to fall to 3.5% by September 2025. Moody’s pointed out… https://t.co/9tn3htvQQI pic.twitter.com/kPNU1t3OTz — WarnTracker 2.0 (@j77324) December 21, 2024 This is concerning: Non-farm payroll employment in …
Several critical financial measures continue to drop, reaching rather obscene comparisons. At first, that doesn’t seem to make any sense; how would today be seen as similar to February 2009, for example. However difficult the economy is now, it certainly isn’t that bad. What these measures are indicating go beyond specific moments, instead providing clues …
NASA is working on backup plans to return two astronauts who flew to the International Space Station on the new Boeing Starliner spacecraft, amid concerns over the vehicle’s flight readiness. The trip was supposed to last just eight days — now it could go on as long as eight months, after NASA acknowledged serious problems …
Holy sh*t Congressman Jamie Raskin says EVEN IF TRUMP WINS they will disqualify him on January 6th, 2025 under 14A. pic.twitter.com/EJ78RQUhkr — End Wokeness (@EndWokeness) August 5, 2024 In February, Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-MD) told a group at the Politics and Prose bookstore in D.C. that if former President Donald Trump wins, Congress must disqualify …
Workforce participation remains below pre-pandemic levels. We are missing 1.7 million Americans from the workforce compared to February of 2020. We hear every day from our member companies—of every size and industry, across nearly every state—that they’re facing unprecedented challenges trying to find enough workers to fill open jobs. Right now, the latest data shows …
https://twitter.com/leadlagreport/status/1789817492648419406 US technology stock prices are ~2x larger relative to the S&P 500, the most ever. Even more than in the Dot-com bubble However, what do their valuations look like? Are the US tech stocks in a bubble again? The full analysis is under the below link👇https://t.co/KRQ2mT0oVC — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) May 13, 2024 …
Officials say while Putin retains culpability for the death of his biggest critic, he probably did not want it to happen when it did. Intelligence officials in the United States have determined that Russian President Vladimir Putin probably did not plan for jailed opposition leader Alexey Navalny to be killed in February at an Arctic …
Margin debt is the amount of money an investor borrows from their broker via a margin account. Trading with a margin debt can magnify gains because an investor can benefit from the upside of any stock without having to invest 100%, resulting in greater profit. With that being said, trading with margin debt can also …
🚨BREAKING: CHINA IPHONE SHIPMENTS FELL ABOUT 33% IN FEB., STATE DATA SHOW $AAPL pic.twitter.com/iRvlJDS2H3 — Smartkarma (@smartkarma) March 26, 2024 Cosco Intl https://t.co/eOLKLLVxza – HK net-net – earnings +77pc YoY– 11pc yield – net cash is now 120pc of mcap Geez! pic.twitter.com/njRLI41zWz — Smartkarma (@smartkarma) March 26, 2024
Unemployment and supply of homes are correlating higher now as well pic.twitter.com/cfgrH7wAsT — The Coastal Journal (@1CoastalJournal) March 26, 2024 The real estate rollercoaster is hitting some unexpected twists and turns, with February delivering a double whammy of unsettling news. Brace yourselves: layoffs have skyrocketed a jaw-dropping 410% compared to last year, hitting levels not …
Everything is fine … 🔥🔥🔥 pic.twitter.com/pSgXhkJunI — Wall Street Mav (@WallStreetMav) March 8, 2024 February 2024 witnessed a distressing surge in layoff announcements, marking the highest for the month since the global financial crisis of 2009, according to a report by Challenger, Gray & Christmas. The total of 84,638 planned job cuts represents a 3% …
Despite sanctions, Russian revenues from the sale of raw materials increased by 80% – WION Despite Western sanctions, Russia's oil and gas revenues grew by more than 80% in February, reaching $10 billion, WION reports. The Finance Ministry said Tuesday that oil and gas taxes… pic.twitter.com/aMObFw8Umv — Sprinter Press (@SprinterPress) March 6, 2024
Number of funds owning Best Buy shares is also decreasing (source: FinFab app for iPhone) h/t ChampionshipUsed9855
Well sure they are selling on highs, not lows like retails. h/t ChampionshipUsed9855
Former President Donald Trump is expected to decide on Monday if he is going to file an appeal with the U.S. Supreme Court regarding his presidential immunity claim in his Washington, D.C., election interference case. A federal appeals court ruled earlier this week that Trump is not immune from criminal prosecution, allowing special counsel Jack …
https://usdebtclock.org/current-rates.html h/t CFP
🚨BREAKING NEWS🚨 There will be a “Take Our Border Back” multi-day trucker convoy from January 29th through February 3rd. Routes will end at Eagle Pass TX, Yuma AZ, and San Ysidro CA. — Rep. Keith Self (@RepKeithSelf) January 22, 2024 The Freedom Convoy in Canada will pale in comparison. Americas spirit is about to show …
Supreme Court agrees to weigh whether Trump can be kicked off ballot in Colorado The case raises a novel legal question under a constitutional clause that prohibits those who have “engaged in insurrection” from serving in the federal government. WASHINGTON — The Supreme Court on Friday agreed to consider whether former President Donald Trump could …
By Graham Summers, MBA The S&P 500 is consolidating after one of its best monthly performances in the last 30 years. Thus far in November, the S&P 500 is up 8.5%. If the month ended today, it would be one of the top 10 monthly returns for the S&P 500 in the last 30 years. …
