Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
by Rebelliousdefender There are more young people still living at home than during the GREAT DEPRESSION. This indicates that the economy is shit. There are more homeless than ever. This indicates the economy is shit. Prices are higher than ever. For everything. Especially for housing. People can afford only a fraction of what they could …
Authored by Frank Shostak via The Mises Institute, The yearly growth rate of the consumer price index (CPI) stood at 2.7 percent in November, against 2.6 percent in October. In June 2022, the yearly growth rate was 9.1 percent. The price of a good is the amount of money asked per unit of some particular good …
via notayesmanseconomics As the UK has moved into 2025 the economic news has not been good. Official statistics by their very nature are always behind the times. But the latest monthly GDP figures for September and October both showed 0.1% declines and that followed a third quarter for 2024 which was revised down to 0% …
This isn’t a run-of-the-mill doom-and-gloom production, this is a brutally honest, understandable and detailed explanation as to why the US stock market and the 10 biggest companies’ stocks are insanely over-valued. The biggest companies: Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Alphabet(Google), Amazon, Meta (Fecesbook), Tesla, Broadcom, Berkshire-Hathaway (Warren Buffet), Wallmart The Market Cap to GDP Ratio (also known …
1. The Energy Crisis Germany’s energy woes stem from a combination of geopolitical tensions, policy decisions, and its ambitious green energy transition. For decades, Germany relied heavily on Russian natural gas, a relationship disrupted by the Ukraine conflict and resulting… pic.twitter.com/313gHtP4D1 — Logan Weaver (@LogWeaver) December 31, 2024 The "Energiewende" (energy transition) aimed to make …
EU is a failed experiment. It is controlled by the left ideologists, and they are engaging self culture and society destruction. European people need to take the matter in their own hands, and take their sovereign back, and fire those idiots. — Quantumized Qubits (@U01000001) December 30, 2024
🇨🇳 Just In: China’s central government urges local governments to give cash handouts for New Year. China's economy is in awful shape. pic.twitter.com/P9j7kKJGHy — Jesse Cohen (@JesseCohenInv) December 30, 2024 Link: BBG/Xinhua News pic.twitter.com/9VDeDO22rR — Jesse Cohen (@JesseCohenInv) December 30, 2024 https://twitter.com/MichaelAArouet/status/1873654789571231973 🇨🇳TIL: The number of births in China in 2023 were the lowest since …
Because while the economy looks solid, it's built on debt, inflation, and overvalued assets. Add in rising interest rates and global instability, and the conditions are ripe for a sharp correction, even in a seemingly strong market. — Rooted_In_Reality (@realonesknow87) December 30, 2024 Trump Just said we are heading to a 1929 scenario in the …
by Michael All over America, our core urban areas are teeming with tent cities, hordes of homeless drug addicts, and vast throngs of newly arrived migrants that don’t have anywhere to go. When I wrote about this topic one year ago, homelessness in the U.S. was at an all-time record high, and it was increasing …
China’s $11 trillion government bond market has moved into uncharted territory. As their government rolls out widespread stimulus, yields are hitting record lows. The gap between yields in Japan and China are now at a record low of just ~70 basis points. China is in trouble. pic.twitter.com/j1vrmW6Hxe — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) December 28, 2024 …
Japan will be forced to hike again. pic.twitter.com/OZoNx4M9IK — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) December 26, 2024 Translation : Urgent need for rate hikes. https://t.co/jAWawyZ51o — The Great Martis (@great_martis) December 27, 2024 📊💴 Tokyo inflation accelerates, fueling rate hike expectations Tickers of interest: $JPY $NKY Full Story → https://t.co/kAUGf8Jhz6 pic.twitter.com/4nSjl8TVHp — PiQ (@PiQSuite) December 26, 2024 …
by notayesmanseconomics As we arrive in Christmas week we find that the data on the UK economy is sending a rather unseasonal message. Here is the official release from earlier. UK real gross domestic product (GDP) is estimated to have shown no growth in Quarter 3 (July to Sept) 2024, revised down from the first …
by Michael The fact that economic conditions are getting worse is certainly not good news, but it is better to know in advance what is coming. After four years under Joe Biden, the U.S. economy is a giant mess. We have been witnessing a slow-motion collapse right in front of our eyes, and those at the …
There are seven very important reasons you should not be buying a home in this economy, especially going into 2025. There is a lot of uncertainty surrounding the future of the US economy and you have to ask yourself if you really want to be a new homeowner saddled with a whole new set of …
For reference, Chinese yields are already lower than during the peak of the Great Financial Crisis and the pandemic meltdown. Something huge is happening in China – and we should pay attention. 2/ pic.twitter.com/zwWT9y7jsQ — Alf (@MacroAlf) December 20, 2024 The Chinese private sector debt as a % of GDP has exploded north of 200%, …
Authored by Charles Hugh-Smith via oftwominds, Addiction, illness and derangement are all immensely profitable, along with monopoly, cartels and collapsing quality. The economy has failed the American people, but it’s taboo to say why because that would undermine the entire power structure that so richly benefits the few at the expense of the many. The few …
This isn’t bullish as many claim. What’s happening is there’s limited demand for credit/leverage in China. Yet, b/c banks are sitting on liquidity, they are piling into Chinese bonds, which is driving rates on these bonds lower. While some are saying this is QE, THEY ARE WRONG. https://t.co/rIH1RNoXkP — Gordon Johnson (@GordonJohnson19) December 17, 2024 …
Authored by Charles Hugh-Smith via oftwominds, All three pillars propping up workforce spending are cracking. Plan accordingly. Karl Marx and Henry Ford both understood the key pillar of an industrial economy: the workforce has to earn enough to buy the output of the economy. If the workforce doesn’t earn enough to have surplus earnings to spend …
🚨IMPORTANT: Is the US economy awaiting a second wave of inflation as in the 1970-1980s? Is this a completely false and misleading narrative and the economy is heading for deflation? Or maybe we will see a few years of an elevated 3-4% inflation? What do you think and why? pic.twitter.com/hh6yWMSyOu — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) …
1. Stocks: all-time highs2. Home Prices: all-time highs3. Bitcoin: all-time highs4. National Debt: all-time highs5. Core CPI Inflation: >3% for 42 straight months, longest run of high inflation since early 1990s6. Fed: cutting rates again in 2 weekshttps://t.co/rQuXrxVpWs — Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) December 6, 2024 Let me be clear… The NFP numbers are BS! The …
Important updates around the world in terms of global trade, including a sharp drop in American exports and imports. What all of it means for the short run as far as cyclical indications as well as what the long run secular trend indicates. Plus, special guest appearance.
Trump won and the global economy has "unexpectedly" gone into a tailspin https://t.co/W5lAAGM06Q pic.twitter.com/af02CAdEnx — zerohedge (@zerohedge) December 4, 2024 US executives are selling stock at extreme levels: The ratio of insider sellers to buyers hit nearly 6x, the most in at least two decades. This is DOUBLE the average seen over the last 3 …
I worry about this too. I don’t see how you have another stock market bull run given how overpriced equities are along with how bad the economy is. It’s going to get worse before it gets better. https://t.co/16VaPMt40N — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) December 4, 2024 🇺🇸 S&P 500 Asset managers are buying US stock futures …
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) fell -0.4% in October and hit its lowest since March 2016. This index has not seen an increase for 32 consecutive months, the longest streak on record. The streak has even exceeded the previous records of 25 months in the 1974-1975 recession and 24 months during the 2008 …
It’s Toytown basic economics that the price of any commodity or service is determined by the relationship between supply and demand. The less there is of anything, the higher its price will be, depending on the level of demand. The greater the level of supply the lower the price, and thus the greater the demand and …
"These numbers look terrible. It's like the Eurozone’s manufacturing recession is never going to end. As new orders fell fast and at an accelerated pace, there’s no sign of a recovery anytime soon," HCOB Chief Economist Cyrus de la Rubia said. — The Coastal Journal (@1CoastalJournal) December 2, 2024 Good Morning from Germany where another …
The directive to supervisors: Hold fewer meetings and make them shorter. Cut superfluous paperwork. Don’t burden the “grassroots”—local-level government workers—with cumbersome and unproductive tasks. Stop using phone apps to track staff and bombard them with instructions. Don’t overwhelm them with performance reviews, lest they focus on pleasing their bosses rather than getting work done. Many …
OUCH! German private sector slides deeper into contraction on services, dealing another blow to an economy grappling with a govt collapse alongside flat-lining growth. The composite PMI dipped to a 9mth low of 47.3 in Nov from 48.6 in Oct – holding below the 50 threshold separating expansion from contraction. Services PMI unexpectedly dropped below 50 …
American Fertility Rates 1950-2023:– 1950: 3.1 live births per woman– 2023: 1.6 live births per woman pic.twitter.com/9A3eNecBoL — The Rabbit Hole (@TheRabbitHole) November 21, 2024 I suspect at least one contributing factor is Americans getting married later:https://t.co/Oz8F6iNi0u — The Rabbit Hole (@TheRabbitHole) November 21, 2024
Some leftists are so spiteful over the outcome of the election that they’re planning to not spend any money once Trump is sworn in as president. Most people are expecting the economy to improve under Trump and these people don’t want that to happen, or at least don’t want Trump to get any credit for …