Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Retail cut options and margin bets after record levels. Similar tops in 2018 and 2021 brought months of tech weakness. Corporate and household debt looks fine. Leveraged ETFs and retail speculation cool off. BofA says AI profits may drop with cheap models. Customers push back on high prices. Defensive stocks and bonds may do better …
Markets hit weekly high right after Israel strike but low summer liquidity could trigger another brutal crash… Oil is pointing to a new global deflation. That I predict will be outside of central bank control aka. a mass deleveraging event. pic.twitter.com/Srkj9RtjbJ — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) June 24, 2025 Today was the biggest down day for oil …
CITI CUTS U.S. EQUITIES TO NEUTRAL, WARNS ON TARIFF IMPACT Citi just downgraded U.S. equities to Neutral from Overweight, flagging recessionary earnings revisions, rich valuations, and trade risks. They now expect global EPS growth of just 4% in 2025—well below consensus—and see… — Wall St Engine (@wallstengine) April 14, 2025 WSJ: “This is different,” Dimon, …
The “pain trade” is back… That means for traders it's a good time to consider smaller position sizing, wider stops and much more discerning execution. – Smaller size to reduce total exposure – Wider stops to account for illiquid, volatile trading conditions – Discerning execution to limit overtrading — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) August 6, …
https://twitter.com/MrOmnicent/status/1749099330307264927 Consumer Sentiment 19-Year Record 🏆 : U.S. Consumer Sentiment had its biggest monthly increase since 2005 pic.twitter.com/M8GBIyiTut — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) January 21, 2024 S&P 500 stocks above their 50-day MA has hit the overbought region This has systematically marked local tops in the market since 2022 pic.twitter.com/m6M5sYGouU — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) January …