Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Bonds reduce volatility and drawdowns in most historical market crashes, even if they do not always behave as expected in every environment. In major downturns like the 2008 financial crisis, broad equity markets fell roughly 50 percent peak to trough, while in the dot com crash the Nasdaq dropped around 75 percent. Across those environments, …
More data: The NASDAQ appears to correlate roughly 70–80% with changes in the Fed’s discount window usage—markets tend to rise when liquidity rises and fall when it’s pulled back. pic.twitter.com/rjmIWWKCuW — The Coastal Journal (@1CoastalJournal) May 22, 2025
On a rolling ninety day basis, Momentum Tech and Bitcoins are 95% correlated, the highest in history. Which means that while gamblers are watching Bitcoins implode over the holiday, we can be 95% certain of what will happen the day after. pic.twitter.com/yLcy44LcyX — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) December 23, 2024 Bitcoin is not fungible and also likely …
🇺🇸 S&P 500 and equal-weight S&P 500 3-month rolling correlation. At historic lows! Chart: @t1alpha pic.twitter.com/szTRHIBpDj — Alex Joosten (@joosteninvestor) May 16, 2024 The S&P 500 is a stock market index that tracks the performance of 500 large companies in the U.S. The equal-weight S&P 500 is similar, but each company is given the same …
The fusion of the stock market with the crypto market is now complete. Bitcoin is 90% correlated with Nvidia. It's a $4 trillion financial weapon of mass destruction. Sponsored by artificial intelligence. Which is now rampant. And also in computers. pic.twitter.com/X3bjYwkzVI — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) February 28, 2024 Bulls, these central bank rigged markets will always …
Nvidia is massively correlated to Bitcoin due to the fact that their semiconductors are also used for Bitcoin mining. But, the real correlation is via glue sniffing social mood. Last seen at the 2021 Bitcoin all time high. pic.twitter.com/TMf7twgGEY — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) January 8, 2024 We're looking for a reversal of fortune in the only …
by Dismal-Jellyfish Source: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-incredible-chart-shows-the-close-relationship-between-the-s-p-500-and-fed-liquidity-166542a7 Earnings, schmearnings. Is what really matters just liquidity? This incredible chart, from Apollo Global Management chief economist Torsten Slok, shows the close relationship between S&P 500 SPX, -0.37% performance and net Federal Reserve quantitative easing (QE) since the pandemic began. Here, Fed QE is defined as the Fed’s total assets minus the balance of the …
