cautiously Archives - Citizen Watch Report

History warns: only twice has CAPE exceeded 37. Proceed cautiously. Markets rarely sustain such peaks.

January 22, 2025 10:04 am

A CAPE ratio of 37.0 feels like walking into a storm with no umbrella. The fact that it’s only been higher twice in history says it all—this is rare air, and it’s hard to breathe up here. The stock market's CAPE ratio is clocking in at 37.0. It has only been higher than this twice …

Market on the brink: S&P 500 nears cliff as options market treads cautiously.

April 21, 2024 1:26 pm

Market indicators flash warning: Discretionary and Staples teeter on the edge as S&P 500 hovers precariously near its 20-week moving average. Amidst cautionary whispers, even the options market hesitates, while a Reddit tale spins a tale of high-risk fortune. #SPX #SP500 $SPY #ES_F 📉 🥶https://t.co/Unj4i0DpAT — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) April 21, 2024 New lows. The …

What happened? Powell went from cautiously hawkish to openly dovish over the course of a month. We have seen in past that even when interest rates are high it took around 5 years for inflation to go down.

December 15, 2023 12:55 pm

https://twitter.com/TRUMP4USD/status/1735657299811909701 Save this article headline … This is going to be one of those we look back on and laugh at. pic.twitter.com/qJs5C4TwJD — Wall Street Mav (@WallStreetMav) December 15, 2023 *WILLIAMS: WE AREN’T REALLY TALKING ABOUT RATE CUTS RIGHT NOW Two days ago: POWELL: RATE CUTS ARE A TOPIC OF DISCUSSION RIGHT NOW — zerohedge …