Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
THE U.S. STOCK MARKET IS ABOUT TO CRASH COMPLETELY. 2008 GFC Crash: – S&P 500 dumped 20%, then pumped 14% before another 53% drop. 2020 Covid Crash: – $SPX dumped 15%, then pumped 9% before another 30% drop. 2025 Tariffs Crash: – SPX dumped 10%, then pumped 5% before another 16% drop. 2026 Dump: – …
kristen shaughnessy @kshaughnessy2 “Bank of America has a stark warning for stock investors” “The stock market may be just one bad day away from forcing Washington and Wall Street to act. That is the message Bank of America chief investment strategist Michael Hartnett sent to clients on Friday….. The four market thresholds to watch •S&P …
Why someone just bought 17M 0DTE $SPY puts for Monday ? pic.twitter.com/PdkZYpBIiv — Data Driven Stocks (@stockdatamarket) March 16, 2026 Someone is buying $7.3M worth of $NVDA 11DTE puts here… mostly at the ask$SPY $QQQ pic.twitter.com/45zKfDIJeK — Traveller (@A_Najumi) March 16, 2026 $SPX Another bounce which will be sold. pic.twitter.com/lsnvyJsQqB — RBswingtrader (@rbswingtrader) March 16, …
Fear and Greed in Extreme Fear. Historically signals we're getting close to a short-term bounce. pic.twitter.com/tN4YpIHB0E — Tobias Carlisle (@Greenbackd) March 13, 2026 Tom Lee says the market will bottom this month. He also believes higher oil prices could actually be bullish for U.S. equities. If investors start worrying about slowing global growth, they may …
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on Tuesday said, “Today will be, yet again, our most intense day of strikes inside Iran.” “Iran stands alone, and they are badly losing,” Hegseth said at a press conference at the Pentagon with Gen. Dan Caine, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. He said that in the past …
Wow Someone BIG has been loading MILLIONS worth of $SPY puts the entire bounce today pic.twitter.com/zajhntQXJT — Cheddar Flow (@CheddarFlow) March 2, 2026 We just filled thursday's gap to the penny. My spidey sense is telling me that was the target. We filled 2 down gaps today. I want you all to really think about …
Nasdaq looks ready for a bounce, which is what happened after the end of Jan 2020 selloff. Then the panic hit after OpEx. A similar setup appears to be building here, which means are rapid move upward next week and then a topping pattern into Fri Mar 20. https://t.co/n2vZXGesqM pic.twitter.com/Hqru0w5MU9 — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) March 1, …
The market we have now is a bearish phase within a secular uptrend. A sustained uptrend typically doesn’t return until the event that triggered the downturn becomes irrelevant. However, if that event is about to be resolved, the market can skyrocket, breaking above the 200-day… — optionGeek (@StockShark16) April 15, 2025 $SPY options open interest …
$ES_F projected to touch near 5284 by tomorrow close.This is likely a dead cat bounce. pic.twitter.com/xKI5Hpvozg — optionGeek (@StockShark16) April 8, 2025 Both $TLT and $GLD sold off today — and that’s a warning sign. ⚠️ Cross-asset correlations are breaking, which often signals instability beneath the surface.Even though $VIX has likely peaked, the next phase …
President Trump is completely SILENT: It has now been over 36 hours since the last tariff headline from President Trump. No mention of any potential tariff deals, phone calls, or delays in tariffs. “Reciprocal tariffs” will officially go live at 12:01 AM ET. President Trump… — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 6, 2025 Talk of …
US: We need 17 years and 400 Trillion dollars to build AI. China over a weekend with twigs and berries: AI is ready — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) January 27, 2025 NVIDIA (and NASDAQ) could easily fall over 75%. When it happens (not if, in my view), we should see a capital rotation event, a 10 …
Compare to August. On the Monday after the jobs report, stocks gapped down and the VIX exploded. Monday open was the low of the week. Today, the market gapped down amid relative complacency. This morning BTFD bounce could be the high of the week. pic.twitter.com/PnHNYjtIWw — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) January 13, 2025 This incipient bear market …
$SPX Chart Update: I can envision maybe a little weakness to begin the week then dip buyers buy up to close the week before the inauguration on the 20th. So we can likely fill that Trump Bump gap around 5,782, maybe slightly overshoot to as low as 5,750 to hit that major support trendline before …
⚠️S&P 500 RISK PREMIUM HAS DROPPED TO THE LOWEST SINCE THE DOT-COM BUBBLE BURST⚠️ The difference between the S&P 500 estimated earnings yield (earnings divided by price) and the 10-year Treasury yield fell to the lowest in over 2 decades. Are stocks overvalued versus bonds? pic.twitter.com/OwlMjd45Jo — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) December 23, 2024 Is …
More good news: A nice bounce in consumer sentiment in September, according to the University of Michigan Survey of Consumers. People are noticing lower prices and cooling inflation: 1-year Inflation expectations are down to the lowest since 2020. pic.twitter.com/u8KupQHMRu — Heather Long (@byHeatherLong) September 13, 2024 1. Highest consumer sentiment since May 2. Lowest 1-yr …
Kamala Harris has maintained her advantages over Donald Trump on personal attributes and broadly is seen as running the better presidential campaign in a new ABC News/Ipsos poll, with comparative doubts about Trump’s campaign in his base and the political center alike. The race between them remains close, with no overall bounce in support for …
$TLT $EDV $ZROZ $TMF 📈 👀https://t.co/iQpWfEerbA — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) July 31, 2024 #recession … #GFC2 US TREASURY #Bonds edition https://t.co/aeOy2pBdCG — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) July 31, 2024 2/ VIX is the S&P 500's volatility index Spikes in the VIX often mean the S&P 500 is moving lower As seen in recent corrections pic.twitter.com/NDXbxbMfzP — …
“Biden Got ZERO Bounce in the polls from his hateful SOTU Address.” His poll numbers didn’t change. Worst president next to Obama in the history of America. At least Carter can rest in peace knowing there were worse president’s then him. Biden Got ZERO Bounce in the polls from his hateful SOTU Address. pic.twitter.com/l36glg5yl4 — …
The Fed is losing money, currently $120 billion since 2022. They can't send profits to the US Treasury until they earn those losses back. The last line is hilarious.🤣 "The Fed has stressed that losing money in no way impacts its ability to operate and conduct monetary policy." https://t.co/FlNjxjGBNL — Wall Street Mav (@WallStreetMav) November …
@KeithMcCullough warns that the recent surge in Regional Banking ($KRE) and Real Estate ($XLRE), often seen as positive, could be a bear market bounce, potentially misleading investors before a recession. Drawing parallels to the Great Financial Crisis, McCullough highlights this as outright panic buying and suggests the current crisis might surpass the GFC, impacting Main …
As technology companies look forward to big opportunities in artificial intelligence, this latest earnings season seemed to reveal some cracks in their present-day armor. Technology stocks have pulled back in August after the sector racked up seven months in a row of gains to start the year. Recent weakness comes amid renewed skittishness about interest …
⚠️10YR yield high of day 4.274% New 20 year high pic.twitter.com/H0k7d5a0QG — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) August 16, 2023 The $tip etf is at the October lows. $qqq seems terribly mispriced, and that gap needs to close. pic.twitter.com/egSgaaxTsS — Michael J. Kramer (@MichaelMOTTCM) August 16, 2023 Wen financial Armageddon pic.twitter.com/iSYwaXCF0U — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) August 16, …
