Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Less than 14bn$ of “cash on the sidelines” are left in the US. When this hits zero banks will start to borrow liquidity regularly from the FED REPO facility because there isn’t much left in the open market. The FED REPO is capped at 500bn$, let’s see how fast we will get there.. pic.twitter.com/ATLxRAzygT — …
The S&P 500 relative to the U.S. money supply looks incredibly similar to the 1999 blow-off top. pic.twitter.com/CpsVvr2TKa — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) June 30, 2025 Also notable: 4 week bill tanking, now almost 20 bps under RRP pic.twitter.com/qrZdz82dZU — George Gammon (@GeorgeGammon) June 30, 2025 The Fed is now providing Wall Street with liquidity through …
Enjoy the blow-off top! pic.twitter.com/bbbGlh03d3 — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) June 30, 2025 now everyone can start screaming about "spot up, vol up" pic.twitter.com/rAN0flCoNm — Michael J. Kramer (@MichaelMOTTCM) June 30, 2025 https://twitter.com/StockMKTNewz/status/1939684027381711088 RACE to the $4T MARKET CAP 👑$AAPL: Gradually losing its positions$MSFT: Perpetually runner-up, always close$NVDA: Came from nowhere to rain as the new …
Friendly reminder: U.S. markets remain extremely negative in terms of sentiment across multiple indicators — which, from a contrarian perspective, is typically bullish. However, equity allocations are still relatively high, highlighting a clear disconnect between positioning and sentiment. On top of that, given the unique market environment we’re in, a rebound is possible — but …
by Chris Black The first half of the year has been marked with an unusually low-volatility environment (https://t.me/DTpapers/99), reflected in and likely contributing to the equity rally from outset of the year. Rallies in meme stocks, bitcoin, stocks, and home prices: Market action doesn’t look like this when money is tight. It looks like this …