Yale University: 66.1% of retail investors and 56.03% of institutional investors believe the probability of a catastrophic stock market crash in the U. S., like that of October 28, 1929 or October 19, 1987, in the next six months is above 10%.

by Dismal-Jellyfish Wut mean?: On the flipside, this means 66.1% of retail investors and 56.03% of institutional investors believe the probability of a catastrophic stock market crash in the U. S., like that of October 28, 1929 or October 19, 1987, in the next six months is above 10%.    

I just spent two months in China. Don’t believe the CCP reporting 21% youth unemployment, it is definitely way, way higher.

by ihasanemail [So I’m a Mandarin-speaking Asian dude from Texas. This is all anecdotal, so this is only my first-hand observations. Feelings are useless in trading. You a moron if you trade off a story versus hard facts.] I was in Beijing for a wedding, then was a tourist through Chengdu and Harbin and various villages …

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Liquidity Fairy Alert! Bank Term Funding Program usage UP AGAIN (.4% to $107.242B vs $106.864B 8/9), marking the 11th consecutive week over $100B. This looks more and more like there’s an over-reliance on Fed Funding–growing faster than inflation ‘should be,’ I believe the BTFP is a moral hazard!

by Dismal-Jellyfish Borrowing from the Bank Term Funding Program hit a NEW all time high–the 11th consecutive week above $100 billion! What we are monitoring: Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) Discount Window/Primary Credit “Other Credit Extensions” I hope to shed light on the recent uptick in borrowing due to an attempt to offset the initial …

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Do you believe in Nvidia in the long term?

by Invesdea So Nvidia +7% today because Morgan Stanley thinks Nvidia is their top pick. Rating: Overweight Price Target: $500 ($437 today) I agree with Morgan Stanley that I don’t see demand will drop anytime soon considering all the AI startups are booming and some of them are actually useful (i.e. Midjourney). But I also …

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The science isn’t settled, you’re just being forced to believe it is

https://twitter.com/BernieSpofforth/status/1683741803663572992 'Climate Science' debunked in 90 seconds. pic.twitter.com/WauPVIh0ii — Dr. Simon Goddek (@goddek) July 24, 2023 #1 The term #ClimateGate was first coined in a critical article by @JamesDeling for the @Telegraph. Unsurprisingly, the piece has since been removed ten years ago. However, the article can still be accessed via the archive (https://t.co/RPrnlezsS6). pic.twitter.com/fp8KM9C2Fh — …

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Liquidity Fairy Alert! Bank Term Funding Program usage rose this week ($102.927B vs $102.305B on 7/12), marking the 7th straight week over $100B. It’s looking more and more like there’s an over-reliance on Fed Funding. I believe this be a moral hazard.

by Dismal-Jellyfish Borrowing from the Bank Term Funding Program is on the increase again! What we are monitoring: Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) Discount Window/Primary Credit “Other Credit Extensions” I hope to shed light on the recent uptick in borrowing due to an attempt to offset the initial shrink in M2 and dip in deposits. …

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Banks would lose $541 billion in ‘hard landing’ contingency… Most investors believe there will be no recession in 2023… Retail has been wonderful exit liquidity for big players.

Banks would lose $541 billion in ‘hard landing’ contingency: Fed The Federal Reserve said Thursday that banks are well capitalized enough to endure a severe recession but stand to lose $541 billion if the economy heads south. The findings came from the Fed’s annual stress test of the banking sector, which is based on major …

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53% believe Biden committed high crimes; 70% support impeachment.

https://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1671836717760872449/history Marjorie Taylor Greene to Force Bribery Biden Impeachment Vote: ‘We Have Bank Records . . . Everyone Knows That Joe Biden Is a Criminal!’ Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA) in the coming days will introduce articles of impeachment against President Joe Biden under a privileged resolution. By superseding House Republican leadership’s ability to control …

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Credit Card Bombshell: You Won’t Believe What Credit Card Companies Are About to Do

00:00 – Introduction and show’s overview discussed. 00:27 – Record average credit card interest rates outlined. 01:26 – Central Bank’s reaction to rising credit card rates explained. 02:23 – Further increase in credit card interest rates reported. 03:20 – Shift in consumer behavior towards increased credit card repayments. 04:19 – Potential repercussions of rate increase …

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Yesterday, Reddit’s CEO Spez Responded To The Blackout Protests With A Secret Internal Memo Telling Staff The Company Will Not Back Down And Plans To “Wait Out” Disaffected Users and Mods. Many Believe A Conspiracy Related To An Expected Reddit Stock IPO Is Driving That Irrational Behavior.

by AssuredlyAThrowAway On May 31, 2023, Reddit announced a policy change that will kill essentially every third-party Reddit app now operating, from Apollo to Reddit is Fun to Narwhal to BaconReader, leaving Reddit’s official mobile app as the only usable option; an app widely regarded as poor quality, not handicap-accessible, and very difficult to use for moderation. In …

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With this happening across Western Militaries, you have to be an idiot to believe they can win wars.

Skynews: Applicants seeking to join RAF described as ‘useless white male pilots’ Leaked emails show the pressure apparently being applied to filter out white male recruits and fast-track women and ethnic minorities. It can also be revealed 31 white men are to receive £5,000 each to compensate them for being unfairly disadvantaged by the approach. …

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BOOM: White House refuses to address the fact that today the majority of Americans believe the President himself is corrupt… Karine Jean-Pierre’s stunned

White House refuses to address the fact that today the majority of Americans believe the President himself is corrupt. pic.twitter.com/ly2a6uiIH5 — @amuse (@amuse) May 31, 2023   ‘Wow!’ Stunned John Kirby Stammers Out a Denial and Leaves Podium after White House Reporter Details Joe Biden Bribe Allegations and Whistleblower Charges, Asks About Majority of Americans …

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