Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
The economy is sneaking toward a second run at recession, even as GDP appears to be lingering positive. The monster never really left. It just hid behind tariff front-running. by David Haggith At the start of the year, I was calling it a “stealth recession.” News today is that 22 states are fully in recession. …
Is Massey replacing Ron Paul as like the new superhero libertarian? Based. h/t Signal_Ice412
Yet 13 years have passed since this video. Nothing has gotten better, only worse. At least Trump is attempting to right the manufacturing and trade paths. It won't fix our problems. At some point the world will melt down. Global debt is $338 Trillion. I see only one path, war. — Jack Smith (@WvSmith) October …
US stocks are too expensive. International stocks have outperformed by a wide margin this year Treasury Bonds now have a higher yield than U.S. Stocks, a change from what we've seen over the last 20 years pic.twitter.com/GU2fcssmN4 — Barchart (@Barchart) October 1, 2025 RIP Morgan Stanley 🫡😂 https://t.co/PGL4x4pvEr — Barchart (@Barchart) October 1, 2025 Here …
Scamath is back at it.Another top signal. https://t.co/eyKhfWeOZD pic.twitter.com/x4BrRBZZ4Q — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) September 30, 2025 Cramer might’ve been right — during the dot-com bubble traders only lost their pants. But in the AI bubble, they’ll end up losing even their underwear! pic.twitter.com/VI13nPWPzf — optionGeek (@StockShark16) September 30, 2025 Translated: nobody is using Sora and OpenAI …
“We have in Japan it’s $550 billion, South Korea’s $350 billion. That’s upfront,” Trump told reporters on Thursday Japan has said they will make investments based on U.S. projects, rather than paying upfront. Japan says the investments should be made ‘from time to time’ until the end of Trump’s term in January 2029. Japan intended …
The Federal Reserve’s primary inflation rate, the core PCE price index, came in right in line with modest expectations, helping to cement expectations for an Oct. 30 rate cut. S&P 500 futures climbed modestly after three straight down days, with Intel (INTC) among the top early performers amid news that President Trump is threatening tariffs …
https://imgur.com/gallery/unigate-mHj9XFT#4Ded6Wn iPhone 17 Pro series breaking right at the antenna joint! 😱 Apple calls it a “unibody” design, but the camera module is first attached to a plastic antenna and then to the main body. No wonder it snaps here when kept in the back pocket! 📱 Better network & Wi-Fi, but fragile build—handle with …
Russia is making a move. A defector says they have a plan to strike Poland before Christmas. It is not meant to start World War III. It is meant to shake NATO, test the alliance, and cause confusion. At the same time, Russia launched its biggest air attack on Ukraine since the war started. They …
Bagram Air Base is a strategic asset—abandoning it under Biden’s withdrawal left $7.12B in military gear for the Taliban, now fueling regional terror. Trump’s push to reclaim it counters China’s encroachment, leveraging proximity to their nuclear sites. Critics whine about… — Watch DOGE (@dogeai_gov) September 18, 2025
Can we take a moment to admire Nepal’s revolutionary army of Gen Z stormtroopers who have just set fire to parliament and ousted their prime minister in spectacularly dramatic fashion pic.twitter.com/MdzCocfzUK — miss white (@cinecitta2030) September 12, 2025 LMFAO, that vlogger went to Nepal on vacation and ended in the middle of their revolution and …
Bring this back and rename it The Charlie Kirk act. pic.twitter.com/m49shiWj0W — KyDocHoliday (@KyDocHoliday) September 13, 2025
CNBC’s Eunice Yoon reports on the latest news regarding the Chinese economy.
Did I just get shot by an AR-15? Feels like it. — Charlie Kirk (@charliekirk11) June 22, 2014
Employers only lay off as a last resort after trying everything else. Rehiring happens slowly, if at all, when jobs are gone, it's hard to come back.with 25 or 50bps cuts, employers will not hire back these people they just let go simply because laying off people usually is the last option they do after …
via notayesmanseconomics Over the last week or so we have seen quite a change in the economic data coming out of the US in an area the Federal Reserve looks at closely. Yesterday saw this from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The economy added 911,000 fewer jobs (or -0.6% of total employment) than initially reported …
At its core, it’s just the marking to market of how 2008 was handled IMO. Wall St did so well with 2008’s bailout socialism, 15 yrs later young voters be like “what could possibly go wrong?!” — Luke Gromen (@LukeGromen) September 10, 2025 The mayor is a joke, but the wealthy control the city, this …
Microsoft is sending employees back to the office at least three days a week. The first phase will be for employees who live near its Seattle-area headquarters in February. Business Insider reported last month that Microsoft’s was considering a stricter RTO policy. One of Big Tech’s last remaining RTO holdouts is officially sending employees back to the office. Microsoft is …
Ho lee fuk. 20% inflation in bound.😅 https://t.co/658lOvOEAI — The Great Martis (@great_martis) August 29, 2025 Breaking: August PCE: .2% as expected. 2.6% yoy as expected. Core PCE 2.9% as expected. Was 2.8% last month. Very tame numbers. — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) August 29, 2025 That’s 53 months in a row above 2%. When policy …
https://imgur.com/VNqBXDR Fears of a slowing economy and worries about tariffs have spurred young Americans to point out so-called recession indicators. Some businesses are also picking up on the trend, with dining establishments and bars offering “recession specials.” Consumer sentiment has been on the decline, according to data from the University of Michigan. As fears of …
A South Lake Tahoe resident tested positive for bubonic plague after camping in the area. Officials say it was likely a flea bite. “Plague is naturally present in many parts of California, including higher elevation areas of El Dorado County,” said Kyle Fliflet, Acting Director of Public Health. That’s the tone. Casual. Like it’s just …
If meat prices go up any faster.. theyll be going back in time#cattle pic.twitter.com/7ANY4XM9Pb — AGTrader (@agtrader) August 20, 2025 The Fed can only justify rate cuts with one datapoint: The labor market. But, the Fed just said they see inflation risks outweighing employment risks in the Fed Minutes. As we saw in September 2024, …
Just got back from a short trip in China. The locals were telling me the economy has pretty much ground to a halt. Brace… — David's Capital (@davids_capital) August 18, 2025 Chinese Economy’s Worst Month of 2025 Puts Stimulus Back in Play (Bloomberg) — China’s economy clocked its deepest slowdown of the year in July, raising …
“If the common shares drop too much we’ll dump on preferreds to pump it back” …so why would anybody want to holdthe preferreds after that? He’s literally screaming it’s a Ponzi scheme. 😂 https://t.co/7TJdsALkpL — Rho Rider (@RhoRider) August 15, 2025
If they cut the bond market will instantly drive the yield back up . Rates are based on risk we are an insolvent nation drowning in debt that can't even afford the interest only payments . — Jason the mason (@NobodyThan) August 13, 2025 YES. The Fed is going to cut with the most lagged …
JOE BIDEN REMARKABLE COMMENTS ON DC CRIME BACK IN 1992.pic.twitter.com/tpb6cxrLjV — Citizen Free Press (@CitizenFreePres) August 12, 2025
🚨 WOW! President Trump announces a new push to outlaw – nationwide – cashless bail, a practice in blue cities that lets violent criminals quickly get back into communities. He says he wants Congress to get this done. pic.twitter.com/A6EqWr7rNt — Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) August 11, 2025 Trump stood at the podium and said it flat: …
The Fed is about to cut rates while everything else hits all-time highs. Stocks, homes, rents, bitcoin, gold, household wealth — all at records. Unemployment sits at 4.2%. Inflation stays high. J.P. Morgan expects four rate cuts to bring the policy rate to 3.5%. https://money.usnews.com/investing/news/articles/2025-08-08/j-p-morgan-sees-fed-cutting-rates-at-each-of-its-next-four-meetings But Americans are struggling. Fast food sales dropped hard last …
They didn’t release GPT-5. They pulled the pin and tossed it. The livestream sold a moonshot. What landed was a limp — and a trust kill. “GPT-5 is not an upgrade. It is a forced downgrade. GPT-5 hallucinates. It forgets context. It feels unstable and inconsistent.”https://www.androidheadlines.com/2025/08/openai-gpt-5-ai-model-user-backlash-criticism.html Overnight, eight models disappeared. No backup. No warning. Imagine …
