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7-month

Truflation hits 7-month high, Fed rate cuts look increasingly risky. Inflation has been above Fed’s 2% target for 53 months!

September 1, 2025 8:39 pmSeptember 1, 2025 2:10 pm

Truflation has been arguing that inflation is a non-problem and calling for the Fed to cut rates (below). But their latest readings are flashing a yellow to red flag on inflation. August 4th is labeled. It was 1.65%. Today it …

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China’s economy slows as its 10-year bond yield halves since January, while U.S. treasury yields reach 7-month highs.

December 28, 2024 10:51 pm

China’s $11 trillion government bond market has moved into uncharted territory. As their government rolls out widespread stimulus, yields are hitting record lows. The gap between yields in Japan and China are now at a record low of just ~70 …

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Fed’s Favorite Inflation Indicator Holds At 7-Month High

December 22, 2024 8:33 am

The Fed’s favorite (until it starts rising) inflation indicator – Core PCE – printed cooler than expected for November (+0.1% MoM vs +0.2% MoM exp) which held it steady at +2.8% YoY (below the expected 2.9%) – tied for the …

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