Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
WARREN BUFFETT'S TRACK RECORD Compound Annual Gain (1965-2024):– Buffett: +19.9%– S&P 500: +10.4% Total Overall Gain (1964-2024):– Buffett: +5,502,284– S&P 500: +39,054% pic.twitter.com/sQSvxsfrG5 — Evan (@StockMKTNewz) April 13, 2025
These patterns don’t just appear for fun. They’re often a sign that sentiment is shifting, and the easy gains might be over. If history repeats, the next move won’t be straight up. According to @sentimentrader, the S&P 500’s one-year #Sharpe ratio has peaked, which historically leads to periods of volatile/moderate returns.@SoberLook pic.twitter.com/pczWEMCacA — Lance Roberts …
pic.twitter.com/BmgN8RzSM3 — Jack Krzewinski (@JackKrzewinski) January 2, 2025 "The relentless surge of the U.S. dollar is primed to cut a swath of carnage through Asia’s asset markets, leaving economic strain in its wake. The dollar wrecking ball similar wreaked havoc with Latam currencies in the 1980s… Historically, when the dollar flexes its muscle,… pic.twitter.com/y9Sc5afXM0 — …
The S&P 500 closed 2024 with its best two-year gain since the dot-com bubble years of 1997 and 1998. Yet it ended the year with four consecutive daily losses, a year-end losing streak that hasn't happened since 1966, the year stocks peaked before entering a 16-year bear market. — Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) January 1, 2025 …
The lack of confirmation for new record highs for the S&P 500 is still a major divergence that should not be ignored. Historically, this has preceded corrective volatility in markets seen in 2007, 2018, 2020, and 2022. h/t IAmNotAnEconomist
‼️S&P 500 IS AS EXPENSIVE AS DURING THE DOT-COM BUBBLE‼️ 90% of the market sectors have their P/E ratios in the top 25% historically. This is in line with levels seen during the Dot-Com Bubble and before the 2022 bear market. Long-term expected returns are not promising now. pic.twitter.com/8ECIeiuVR4 — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) September …
"The hits just keep on comin'" – Casey Kasem This one today – in case you're told the initial rebound after a volatility spike is a good thing. Not so much when the market is still near divergent, overbullish, record highs. Not an investment strategy, not a forecast. Just FYI. pic.twitter.com/e0q21AkQxg — John P. Hussman, …
Financials Bullishness pic.twitter.com/6tEnWECJJ6 — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) July 25, 2024 S&P 500's earnings beat rate is still healthy at nearly 79%, but the revenue beat rate is currently at its lowest since the fourth quarter of 2016 pic.twitter.com/7QmvLufdG1 — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) July 25, 2024 https://twitter.com/MichaelAArouet/status/1816441931850797083 The streak of days without a 2% …
The S&P 500's price to peak earnings ratio has moved up to 25.9, its highest level since 2000 and 50% above the historical median. $SPXhttps://t.co/l5IYmkf6Ih pic.twitter.com/DFI74St163 — Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) July 17, 2024 Nasdaq Large Engulfing candle, followed by a falling window 2 major warnings🚨 Engulfing is a bearish trend reversal candle. Falling window is …
As we see in the chart below, in recent years the S&P 500 has made no new highs without Tech leadership. Which is unfortunate, because it appears that the Nvidia is having its Gamestop moment ahead of this impending stock split (tomorrow after the close).… pic.twitter.com/bU54jn9mKh — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) June 6, 2024 Bitcoin Update . …
Nvidia accounts for a staggering 43% of the S&P 500’s gains year-to-date, highlighting the dismal breadth of the market. Many stocks are down while tech continues to monopolize attention, reminiscent of the unsettling patterns seen in 2008. If you’re bullish and believe the Fed will cut rates soon, you must recognize that stocks are now …
https://twitter.com/iamhodler_/status/1726563939658662350 🇺🇸 US continuing jobless claims continues to closely track the average of past #recession cycles. Using the months from first inversion of the 10Y3M Treasury yield curve since 1968 (excluding COVID). H/t: @DonMiami3 pic.twitter.com/XhUirbQB8D — Alex Joosten (@joosteninvestor) November 20, 2023
by mrmrmrj A mere 7 corporate giants are single-handedly generating over 100% of the S&P 500’s profit growth, with a mere 10 stocks shouldering 90% of the market’s gains this year. This high level of dependence on a select few raises red flags, as the fate of these companies now dictates the health of the …