A hub for independent voices and hard truths
WARREN BUFFETT'S TRACK RECORD Compound Annual Gain (1965-2024):– Buffett: +19.9%– S&P 500: +10.4% Total Overall Gain (1964-2024):– Buffett: +5,502,284– S&P 500: +39,054% pic.twitter.com/sQSvxsfrG5 — Evan (@StockMKTNewz) April 13, 2025
These patterns don’t just appear for fun. They’re often a sign that sentiment is shifting, and the easy gains might be over. If history repeats, the next move won’t be straight up. According to @sentimentrader, the S&P 500’s one-year #Sharpe …
pic.twitter.com/BmgN8RzSM3 — Jack Krzewinski (@JackKrzewinski) January 2, 2025 "The relentless surge of the U.S. dollar is primed to cut a swath of carnage through Asia’s asset markets, leaving economic strain in its wake. The dollar wrecking ball similar wreaked havoc …
The S&P 500 closed 2024 with its best two-year gain since the dot-com bubble years of 1997 and 1998. Yet it ended the year with four consecutive daily losses, a year-end losing streak that hasn't happened since 1966, the year …
The lack of confirmation for new record highs for the S&P 500 is still a major divergence that should not be ignored. Historically, this has preceded corrective volatility in markets seen in 2007, 2018, 2020, and 2022. h/t IAmNotAnEconomist
‼️S&P 500 IS AS EXPENSIVE AS DURING THE DOT-COM BUBBLE‼️ 90% of the market sectors have their P/E ratios in the top 25% historically. This is in line with levels seen during the Dot-Com Bubble and before the 2022 bear …
"The hits just keep on comin'" – Casey Kasem This one today – in case you're told the initial rebound after a volatility spike is a good thing. Not so much when the market is still near divergent, overbullish, record …
Financials Bullishness pic.twitter.com/6tEnWECJJ6 — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) July 25, 2024 S&P 500's earnings beat rate is still healthy at nearly 79%, but the revenue beat rate is currently at its lowest since the fourth quarter of 2016 pic.twitter.com/7QmvLufdG1 — …
The S&P 500's price to peak earnings ratio has moved up to 25.9, its highest level since 2000 and 50% above the historical median. $SPXhttps://t.co/l5IYmkf6Ih pic.twitter.com/DFI74St163 — Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) July 17, 2024 Nasdaq Large Engulfing candle, followed by a …
As we see in the chart below, in recent years the S&P 500 has made no new highs without Tech leadership. Which is unfortunate, because it appears that the Nvidia is having its Gamestop moment ahead of this impending stock …
Nvidia accounts for a staggering 43% of the S&P 500’s gains year-to-date, highlighting the dismal breadth of the market. Many stocks are down while tech continues to monopolize attention, reminiscent of the unsettling patterns seen in 2008. If you’re bullish …
https://twitter.com/iamhodler_/status/1726563939658662350 🇺🇸 US continuing jobless claims continues to closely track the average of past #recession cycles. Using the months from first inversion of the 10Y3M Treasury yield curve since 1968 (excluding COVID). H/t: @DonMiami3 pic.twitter.com/XhUirbQB8D — Alex Joosten (@joosteninvestor) November …
by mrmrmrj A mere 7 corporate giants are single-handedly generating over 100% of the S&P 500’s profit growth, with a mere 10 stocks shouldering 90% of the market’s gains this year. This high level of dependence on a select few …