A hub for independent voices and hard truths
by confoundedinterest17 The good news? The US Treasury 10Y-2Y yield curve is normalizing to January 2022 levels. One the mortgage side, adjustable rate mortgage (ARM) share is the highest since the financial crisis (2008). As Trump continues to stand up …
by confoundedinterest17 Whenever the 10Y-2Y Treasury yield curve slope goes negative, it is following by positive slope … then recession. Like clockwork. Following every recession since the 1970s, the 10Y-2Y Treasury yield curve slope has risen, then declined. This time …
This means that the yield on the 2-year Treasury note is higher than that on the 10-year Treasury bond, which is unusual and often seen as a predictor of economic recession. An extended yield curve inversion suggests that investors expect …
by DesmondMilesDant Historically, a bull steepener with the short end of the curve dropping is what typically correlates with bear markets. A bear steepening of the yield curve with LTTs selling off indicates the bond market thinks the economy is …
by confoundedinterest17 Maui Joe Biden received a lot of help from his friends at The Federal Reserve! Thanks to the crippling effects of Bidenomics (Fed easing then tightening to combat inflation caused by insane green spending and a war in …
by confoundedinterest17 We are back in the USSR! And the economy taking commands from Washington DC! Introduction During the COVID-19 pandemic the occurrence of remote work jumped, out of sheer necessity. The technology was already available, but the pandemic accelerated its adoption …
by confoundedinterest17 Will this be the last time for a Fed rate hike? Today, The Fed raised their target rate to 5.50%, up 525 basis points from 0.25% on 3/15/2022. That is one big rise in rates over a short …
by confoundedinterest17 Jared Bernstein was VP Joe Biden’s former Chief Economist and is now chair of the United States Council of Economic Advisers. Pretty impressive! Except that Bernstein is not really an economist. He has a PhD in social welfare …
by confoundedinterest17 I have never seen anything like this. The US Treasury 10Y-2Y yield curve is deep in inversion and has had a negative slope for 265 straight days. Bidenomics is born under a bad sign! On the commodities front, heating …
by confoundedinterest17 I am anxiously waiting for the US inflation report tomorrow, so I am just looking at the US Treasury yield curve, mortgage rates and cryptos today. The US Treasury 10Y-2Y yield curve stumbled (just like Biden and Bidenomics) …
by confoundedinterest17 The Federal Reserve is printin’ the night away! Yes, as The Fed printin’ the night away, the US Treasury yield curve (10Y-2Y) is still inverted, but at -86.616 basis points. The 2 year US Treasury yield is down …
by confoundedinterest17 Its the 4th of July, American Independence Day from England, but under Biden and The Federal Reserve, Americans are DEPENDENT on debt and Federal spending. In other words, Americans are addicted to gov. First, Bankrate’s 30-year mortgage rate index …
by confoundedinterest17 Yes, Resident Biden, our bumbling, corrupt “leader” said “We created more new jobs in two years than any president did in their entire term.” Of course, like almost everything that comes out of Biden’s mouth was a lie. …