Oil spikes → fertilizer spikes → food spikes.

April CPI showed food at home up 0.7 percent monthly, biggest jump since August 2022.
Overall food inflation hit 3.2 percent year over year, up from 2.7 percent prior.
Beef, tomatoes and produce leading surges with some categories near 40 percent annual.
Iran conflict energy spike and fertilizer issues adding fresh pressure.
Shoppers report sticker shock ahead of Memorial Day cookouts.
Economists warn more pain possible later in 2026.