Embarking on a narrative journey that transcends time, we unravel the captivating parallels between Nvidia’s meteoric rise and the cautionary tale of Cisco in 2000. If projections hold, Nvidia could transform into a $7.5 trillion behemoth within a year, evoking haunting memories of the Dot Com bubble.
March 2000 witnessed a similar saga with Cisco, and as history beckons, we ponder the unheeded warnings of the past. The charts, valuations, and a sense of unstoppable growth—all echo a familiar tune. Is this a prelude to another tech bubble burst?
This exploration navigates skepticism surrounding claims of “These aren’t bubble stocks,” shedding light on the uncanny resemblance between then and now. The collapse of the Dot Com bubble was fueled by astronomical valuations that couldn’t justify profitability. Fast forward to today, and the charts seem to waltz to a déjà vu rhythm.
Adding to the complexity, Google’s parent company, Alphabet, reported 4Q earnings that missed analysts’ expectations. The heart of the tech giant’s business, ad revenue, stumbled, signaling potential headwinds for the tech sector.
In the current landscape, the narrative draws attention to unsettling figures: 58 tech companies laying off 7,785 employees in Q1 2024. We juxtapose past lessons with current realities, urging caution amid the prevailing enthusiasm.
As we explore the parallels between Nvidia’s trajectory and the Dot Com bubble, the narrative serves as a reminder that history often repeats itself. Are we witnessing the build-up to another bubble burst, or will the tech landscape navigate this trajectory unscathed? The answers may lie in the unfolding pages of financial history.
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In March 2000 I calculated what would happen if Cisco continued its parabolic trajectory. I should have heeded that warning sign.
If Nvidia continues this trajectory, it will be a $7.5t company in one year.
Nvidia is the Cisco of AI.
Circa March 2000. pic.twitter.com/xdK4QvmJwG
— Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) January 31, 2024
58 tech companies have laid off 7,785 employees already in Q1 2024, per Layoffsfyi.
— unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) January 31, 2024
Doh! pic.twitter.com/9TQI0X9iCC
— Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) January 30, 2024
People claiming "These aren't bubble stocks" clearly don't remember the 2000 Dot Com bubble.
The astronomical valuations weren't justified despite profitability, so they collapsed. The charts also look identical. e.g. Cisco t.co/xlzi1FT926 pic.twitter.com/fqL6KTJS8i
— Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) January 28, 2024
Google parent company Alphabet reported its 4Q earnings after the bell on Tuesday, missing analysts' expectations on ad revenue, the heart of the tech giant's business.
The stock slid over 5% lower in premarket trading Wednesday$GOOGL $MSFT $SPX $QQQt.co/K4g1cozx6t
— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) January 31, 2024
Where did all the Insider Buying go? pic.twitter.com/vZVJkezIbw
— Barchart (@Barchart) January 31, 2024