Amidst the tumultuous landscape of financial markets, a profound disquiet emerges as skepticism takes root in the anticipation of six rate cuts in the upcoming year. This growing sentiment stems from a perceived incongruence between the prevailing economic resilience and the proposed drastic monetary measures.
The resolute doubts echo a prevailing sentiment that achieving six rate cuts seems implausible unless the economy undergoes a severe downturn. The Federal Reserve’s potential to enact substantial rate reductions hinges on the occurrence of such a dire scenario. However, the current economic landscape exhibits unexpected tenacity, challenging the narrative of an imminent recession.
Curiously, the resilience observed in the face of previous rate hikes raises questions about the delayed arrival of the much-anticipated recession. Analysts point to the extended impact of higher interest rates on corporate debt as a mitigating factor. The intricate web of economic intricacies has, thus far, shielded the economy from an immediate downturn.
Yet, the repercussions of higher interest rates are palpable, contributing to the paradoxical phenomenon of empty warehouse spaces proliferating across the United States. This phenomenon is driven by a confluence of factors, including the economic uncertainty stemming from higher interest rates and a subsequent decline in demand from retailers. A wave of new warehouse supply further exacerbates the situation, creating an ominous overhang on the market.
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People need to realize you can’t get 6 rate cuts AND higher stock prices.
No one gets to have their cake and eat it too.
Link:t.co/qtUrVy5PR3
— QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) January 10, 2024
One of the reasons the most anticipated recession has not arrived yet despite rates hikes. Higher interests impact takes time due to corporate debt duration pic.twitter.com/yroEUh9wMW
— Michael A. Arouet (@MichaelAArouet) January 10, 2024
"More warehouse space is sitting empty across the U.S. than at any time since the pandemic. The reason: Higher interest rates and uncertainty about the economy is leading to flagging demand from retailers, just as a wave of new warehouse supply is hitting the market."… pic.twitter.com/fhp4qOY5BI
— Daily Chartbook (@dailychartbook) January 9, 2024