🚨MARKET PRICING SIGNALS A 100% PROBABILITY OF US RECESSION🚨
The market is currently pricing in over 2.00% Fed rate cuts within 12 months, the most since the Financial Crisis.
This implies a 100% probability of a recession in the next 12 months, according to Goldman Sachs. pic.twitter.com/AHZtUBrZ3Z
— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) September 22, 2024
New tenant rents are collapsing for the first time since the Great Financial Crisis.
Translated: Working families can afford better homes to rent. pic.twitter.com/8YszINqYlm
— Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) September 22, 2024
The law of diminishing returns kicks in big time now.
2008 they printed $3.5 trillion for 12yrs
2020 they printed $5 trillion for 4yrs
2024 they'll have to print $10 trillion for 1.5yrsNotice how the boom cycles are getting shorter.
2x more money printing for 3x shorter cycle t.co/CLyxYwAoLM pic.twitter.com/IM8FzabKEh— Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) September 22, 2024
CAN THE FED AVOID A RECESSION?
Fed cut rates by 0.50% on September 18, in the largest surprise since 2008.
Stocks usually fall ~15% within 12 months following the 1st cut if there is a recession.
If the economy avoids a recession, stocks rise over 10%👇t.co/uPmnoHiZaB
— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) September 23, 2024