Mark Halperin — Many republican strategists believe Trump has already locked up victory. Data on absentee and early votes look good for Trump.

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Trump leads by 6 in Texas and 13 in Florida in NYT Siena poll. Nate Cohn is making excuses.

https://archive.is/fpBw8

Crosstabs from NY Times poll.

https://archive.is/Sdr8d