Mark Halperin — Many republican strategists believe Trump has already locked up victory. Data on absentee and early votes look good for Trump.

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"There are not an insignificant number of Republicans who say the race is effectively over," says @MarkHalperin. "That, as I reported a month ago, Trump is going to lock up the Sunbelt states, probably all four, but at least three. And then he’s going to win Pennsylvania, and… pic.twitter.com/fs4XTtDskL

— 2WAY (@2waytvapp) October 8, 2024

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Trump leads by 6 in Texas and 13 in Florida in NYT Siena poll. Nate Cohn is making excuses.

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Crosstabs from NY Times poll.

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