Manufacturing struggles persist with declining capacity utilization, challenging political claims of a comeback.

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Total capacity utilization declined again this month, signaling continued weakness in the manufacturing sector. Despite political claims of a ‘manufacturing comeback,’ total industrial production remains stagnant, experiencing monthly declines. The peak in total capacity utilization during the 2018 shakeout, even with Powell’s rate cuts to zero, indicates ongoing challenges. The ‘lockdowns’ and pandemic-related distortions provided a lifeline for asset classes to navigate severe recessionary conditions, while construction spending on manufacturing shows signs of rolling over.

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