Loose As A Goose? US 30Y Yield Tumbles Back Below 4.00%, Financial Conditions Loosest Since May 2022

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by confoundedinterest17

Are US financial conditions loose as a goose?

Despite resilience in US data, 30Y Yields have plunged back below the 4.00% Maginot Line this morning…

Source: Bloomberg

The last few weeks have seen US macro data reverse its recent trend of disappointment…

Source: Bloomberg

The long-end of the curve is outperforming…

See also  Japan's bond yields are hitting highs not seen since 2008! Looks like the Bank of Japan is the first central bank losing its grip.

Source: Bloomberg

But, ‘do not fight The Fed’ seems to be the narrative and expectations for a March rate-cut are rising once again…

Source: Bloomberg

And the market is pricing in over 160bps of cuts for next year…

Source: Bloomberg

Financial Conditions are now at the same level of looseness as of May 2022…

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Source: Bloomberg

That is 300bps of Fed rate-hikes ago!!! Is that really what The Fed wanted?

Jay Powell and The Gang are likely partying at a nightclub drinking Heineken while the rest of us drink Pabst Blue Ribbon.

 


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