Not even close.
Polling data expert Nate Silver slammed election forecasts showing a close race between presidential candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump across several states. Silver accused many pollsters of “herding” to ensure their predictions aren’t too far off from other predictions.
“In fact, I kind of trust pollsters less, they all, every time a pollster [says] ‘Oh, every state is just +1, every single state’s a tie,’ No! You’re f—ing herding! You’re cheating! You’re cheating!” said Silver during a Friday episode of his weekly podcast, Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova.
Silver has maintained his prediction that Trump will overtake Harris, 55 percent and 45 percent respectively, to return to the White House.
However, Silver slammed GOP-leaning polling firms for continually putting Trump at an advantage in many states, accusing them of making a prediction that won’t put them “too far on a limb.”
https://www.thedailybeast.com/nate-silver-cheating-pollsters-are-putting-finger-on-the-scale/