From Rasmussen Reports (the most independent and accurate polling company)
Excellent description of polling process, betting numbers, etc. Rasmussen is the most recent poll and shows Trump up. Poll numbers are based on August 4 through 7th polls.
Election 2024: Trump 49%, Harris 44%, RFK Jr. 3%
Thursday, August 08, 2024
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, in a two-way matchup, 49% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for Trump, while 44% would vote for Harris. Four percent (4%) say they’d vote for some other candidate and three percent (3%) are undecided. These findings are nearly unchanged from a week ago, which was the second survey since President Joe Biden announced he would withdraw his reelection bid.
h/t Happy in Nature