Recent analysis suggests Japan’s intervention to boost the yen, injecting around ¥5.5 trillion—the first such move since 2022. Concerns arise over fiscal factors and the potential economic impact, signaling a developing crisis.
Key Points:
- BOJ likely intervened to support yen, injecting ¥5.5 trillion.
- Fiscal factors prompt concerns over current account balance.
- Rise in JGB yields and yen’s decline signal a developing crisis.
- Shift in monetary policies amid US interest rate changes poses challenges.
- Potential consequences include soaring government debt and banking system vulnerabilities.
Source:
https://www.lewrockwell.com/2024/04/alasdair-macleod/japans-slide-into-crisis/
Implications:
- Impact on yen’s stability and global currency markets.
- Economic challenges posed by fiscal and monetary policy shifts.
- Risks of escalating debt and banking system vulnerabilities in Japan.
"suggesting that intervention of about ¥5.5 trillion took place" >
🇯🇵BOJ Accounts Suggest Japan Intervened Monday to Support Yen
Japan likely conducted its first currency intervention since 2022 to prop up the yen Monday, according to an analysis of central bank accounts.… pic.twitter.com/k6opgO9v8n
— Tracy (𝒞𝒽𝒾 ) (@chigrl) April 30, 2024
Looks like #Japan has been particularly active in the money market so far today… stashing more dry powder to defend the $JPY 157 peg I guess#1MBills https://t.co/xLQvjpbIqr pic.twitter.com/UNuImHoJ2P
— JustDario 🏊♂️ (@DarioCpx) April 30, 2024
Current situation in Japan:
H/t: Peruvian Bull pic.twitter.com/1qiCCCEXOO
— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) April 30, 2024
JAPANESE HOUSING STARTS YOY ACTUAL -12.8% (FORECAST -7.5%, PREVIOUS -8.2%) $MACRO
— FinancialJuice (@financialjuice) April 30, 2024
USD/JPY 🇯🇵
40 BILLION intervention yesterday .
Oct 2022 the intervention was successful short term .
But the dynamics today are much different as inflation has set in ,due to the reluctancy to raise rates .The cost of a weakening YEN is stagflation .
Its showing dire signs… pic.twitter.com/HAIB2BxA7p
— The Great Martis (@great_martis) April 29, 2024
We are in a currency crisis.
これを理解している人はほとんどいません.
— Michael A. Gayed, CFA (@leadlagreport) April 29, 2024