GOP loses two state races in Florida. Midterms are going to be a slaughter for the GOP.

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TALLAHASSEE, Florida — Democrats sent a jolt Tuesday through reliably red Florida, flipping two legislative seats including the district containing President Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home.

Democrat Emily Gregory defeated the Trump-endorsed GOP state House candidate in a hotly contested race that had seen Democrats pour money and support into an effort to take hold of the Palm Beach County district. But Democrats also narrowly squeaked out a win in a Tampa state senate seat that had been held by Lt. Gov. Jay Collins until last August.

The wins won’t change the overall control of the Florida Legislature’s Republican supermajority. But the victories were quickly heralded by state and national Democrats after years of GOP domination in the Sunshine State and even jokes from Gov. Ron DeSantis that the state party was practically dead. And Tuesday’s results add more tallies to a trend of Democrats flipping Republican-held seats in state legislatures across the country over the past 14 months.

https://www.politico.com/news/2026/03/24/dems-win-mar-a-lago-gregory-00843333

Democrats flipping two Florida legislative seats, including one tied to the Mar-a-Lago area, shows what heavy spending and strong turnout can actually do in a close race, even in places Republicans usually win. But let’s not pretend this is some massive takeover, Republicans still hold a supermajority in the legislature, so nothing about power in the state really changed. The part people ignore is that these wins are targeted and expensive, not broad, and that matters because it means you can win a few battles without shifting the whole map. If this keeps happening in more districts, then yeah it starts to matter, but right now it’s a warning sign, not a collapse.