Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jun 1 2023
www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Northeastern Gulf of Mexico (AL91):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico have increased and become
better organized during the overnight hours. Environmental
conditions appear marginally favorable for additional development
over the next day or so, and a short-lived tropical depression or
storm could form over that time span as the system meanders over the
northeastern Gulf of Mexico. However, by this weekend environmental
conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for additional
development as the system drifts southward, likely remaining
offshore over the Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane
Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today,
if necessary.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall could occur over
portions of the Florida Peninsula through this weekend. Additional
information on the rainfall and flooding potential can be found in
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office and Excessive Rainfall Outlooks issued by the Weather
Prediction Center.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…50 percent.
Will be interesting to see what @53rdWRS find flying into #91L early this afternoon.
@NHC_Atlantic went to 50% for 8am update. pic.twitter.com/hFL7NV3TrF
— Jim Cantore (@JimCantore) June 1, 2023
91L: NHC has increased the chance of development to 50 percent over the next 48 hours. A short lived tropical depression could form in the Gulf… pic.twitter.com/46JjJ8EMen
— James Spann (@spann) June 1, 2023
Definitely a little "something there" with #91L in the NE Gulf. Buoy 42039 shows recent pressure falls to ~1009 hPa, about ~3-4 hPa lower than the environment, with winds gusting over 30 kt. Convection would have to persist for this to be classifiable as a brief TC, IMO. pic.twitter.com/DCZXlboAm5
— Andy Hazelton (@AndyHazelton) June 1, 2023
The 2023 Atlantic hurricane season kicks off TODAY!
How far do you think we'll get in the list of names? We're LIVE getting you ready and monitoring Invest 91L in the Gulf, which now has a 50% chance of further development in the next 48 hours. pic.twitter.com/FfZKdAIinz
— The Weather Channel (@weatherchannel) June 1, 2023
h/t DOORBERT