Entitlement spending is swallowing nearly half the budget. There is no stopping this spending addiction and the government’s checkbook is running out.

The numbers don’t lie. Nearly half of all U.S. government spending now goes to social benefits, a staggering 45% of total outlays in 2024. That’s not just a small increase—it’s a dramatic surge from just a few decades ago. This is a structural shift, not a temporary blip. Every year, more of the budget is eaten up by entitlement programs, with Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security leading the charge.

Medicaid’s share of spending now stands at 9.4%, up significantly from previous years. Medicare isn’t far behind, rising to 10.9%. Meanwhile, Social Security alone now accounts for 14.6% of government expenditures. Add in “other benefits,” which have also jumped to 9.9%, and the picture becomes clear. These programs are swallowing the budget at an accelerating pace.

This isn’t sustainable. There’s a limit to how much can be spent before the entire system collapses under its own weight. Debt is already piling up at record levels, and interest payments could soon outpace even social benefits. The more the government spends on entitlements, the less it has for anything else. What happens when the debt-fueled spending spree finally hits a wall?

Economist Peter Schiff has been warning about this for years, and his words are becoming harder to ignore. “Americans will soon find out the hard way the downside of decades of outsourcing manufacturing and living off trade deficits and the dollar’s reserve status. The coming day of reckoning is long overdue. I hope that when the financial crisis hits, we finally do the right thing.”

The signs are everywhere. Deficits are soaring. The dollar’s dominance is being challenged. Interest rates are rising. If nothing changes, a reckoning isn’t just possible—it’s inevitable. Governments can only borrow and spend endlessly until reality forces a painful correction.

The longer this continues, the worse the eventual fallout will be. The U.S. is racing toward a fiscal cliff, but the brakes are broken, and no one in Washington seems willing to fix them.

Sources:

https://x.com/dgsommersmkts/status/1897389640698720626

https://x.com/PeterSchiff/status/1897419445745729857