New Emerson College Polling/RealClearWorld surveys in Arizona and North Carolina, find a too-close-to-call presidential election. In Arizona, 50% support former President Trump while 47% support Vice President Kamala Harris. In North Carolina, 49% support Trump, while 48% support Harris.
Statewide Democratic candidates lead the Republicans in Arizona and North Carolina, outperforming Harris on the ballot. In the Arizona US Senate Election between Democrat Ruben Gallego and Republican Kari Lake, 52% support Gallego, 41% support Lake, and 7% are undecided. In the North Carolina gubernatorial election, Democrat Josh Stein leads Republican Mark Robinson, 52% to 33%, with 12% undecided.
“Split ticket voters in Arizona and North Carolina drive the Democratic candidate’s success,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said. “Notably, 10% of Trump voters also support Gallego in Arizona, compared to one percent of Harris voters splitting for Lake. Similarly, 12% of Trump voters also support Stein in North Carolina, compared to 2% of Harris voters switching over to Robinson.”