Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Real-time market analysis with charts, signals, and coverage of key financial and geopolitical developments.
The numbers tell an undeniably disturbing story. The U.S. national debt is on track to approach 100% of GDP this year, a massive surge from just 36% in 2005. To make matters worse, projections show that by 2035, the debt will reach an unimaginable 118.5% of GDP, driven by soaring debt costs and a never-ending …
Bitcoin is nothing more than a derivative of the major bourses, and once the broader market recognizes this truth, it’s only a matter of time before Bitcoin faces an inevitable correction. The cattle, as they say, need to wake up. The impending slaughter for those who believe Bitcoin will remain untouchable is fast approaching. Once …
The more you dig into the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB), the clearer it becomes: this was never about protecting consumers. It was about creating a slush fund for the left, a financial pipeline disguised as “oversight” that funneled money straight into the pockets of activist groups. Think about this: The CFPB collects fines from …
A record-breaking wave of retail investor buying has just been witnessed—an unprecedented surge that eclipses the previous peak from early 2022, a period notorious for marking a major market top. Now, this trend is showing unmistakable signs of fatigue. History is offering a chilling reminder: a similar pattern once unfolded, culminating in a brief blow-off …
You have to tell people what they think they want to hear in the interests of ‘social cohesion’. Just nod and smile. h/t cowardycustard
YTD:$PLTR +47% and to my surprise…$HOOD +42%$RDDT +36% Will Robinhood and Reddit pull their inner Palantir for their earnings Wednesday after hrs? Be fun. — Heisenberg (@Mr_Derivatives) February 8, 2025 $PLTR 569.47 P/E is nothing. AMZN at one point P/E was infinite because it didn’t have E. /s pic.twitter.com/p8yk6RqbQd — Heisenberg (@Mr_Derivatives) February 7, 2025 …
A federal judge on Friday declined to block Elon Musk’s government cost-cutting department from accessing the U.S. Department of Labor’s systems, an initial setback for the government employee unions resisting his efforts to shrink the federal bureaucracy. The temporary ruling by U.S. District Judge John Bates in Washington, D.C., is the first step in a …
On Saturday, the Baltic states will finally desynchronise from the BRELL electricity grid, which links it to Russia and Belarus. But the region is still vulnerable to Russian attacks on its energy infrastructure. History happens this weekend, when Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia desynchronise from the Soviet-era electricity grid that has kept the Baltic states connected …
Donald Trump has indicated that Elon Musk’s “department of government efficiency” (DOGE) will soon direct its attention on the Pentagon. Speaking at a White House press conference alongside Shigeru Ishiba, the prime minister of Japan, Trump confirmed that he had asked Musk – the world’s richest man – to review spending in the sprawling defense …
Complete mess. Payrolls revised massively lower. The govt discovers three million people and assumes two million were employed this whole time. More important than those, hours are shrinking to the point the average workweek is the lowest its been since MARCH 2020. Strong and resilient, as always.
We’re still seeing unprecedented flows of physical gold bullion worldwide, creating logistical challenges and causing not a little market chaos. The world’s biggest bullion dealer just accepted their second-largest delivery of gold since 1994 – what exactly is going on? By Peter Reagan Your News to Know rounds up the most important stories about precious …
by Mike Shedlock Trump announced no details, but I believe I have a good idea of what he means. Many charts tell the story. Balance of trade data from census department through 2024, chart by Mish Reciprocal Tariffs Reuters reports Trump Says He Will Announce Reciprocal Tariffs on Many Countries Next Week. President Donald Trump said …
Tax cuts are great! Everybody loves them, and pretty much nobody votes for a candidate who promises higher taxes. But tax cuts aren’t free – the government still needs to replace the revenue lost when taxes fall. Today, we realistically assess whether the nation can afford the Trump Tax Cuts… By Peter Reagan There are two …
This is why they panic when anyone dares to pull back the curtain. $8 million to Politico? Millions to the BBC? The media wasn’t reporting the truth—it was getting paid to push the narrative. And Washington? $100 billion in fraud exposed with just a 1% audit—that should terrify everyone. The lies aren’t working anymore, and …
Wow. Notable drop in consumer sentiment in February. American consumers do not like tariffs. "About one-third of consumers spontaneously mentioned tariffs, up from 27% last month and less than 2% prior to the election." "This is only the fifth time in 14 years we have seen such… pic.twitter.com/SpjN6uanoX — Heather Long (@byHeatherLong) February 7, 2025 …
Hours worked fell sharply in January to 34.1 … tied for lowest since March 2020 and June 2010 pic.twitter.com/eHi4bd5WLG — Liz Ann Sonders (@LizAnnSonders) February 7, 2025 Average Weekly Hours. Only time lower GFC. Hours worked decline before your layoff. Leading indicator. 👇 pic.twitter.com/zR0rLNtRxi — James E. Thorne (@DrJStrategy) February 7, 2025 They held it …
🚨 TED CRUZ: “USAID was flowing money to Gaza, that was going straight to Hamas and they were doing everything they could to hide that.” pic.twitter.com/nan0F5NPpe — Chief Nerd (@TheChiefNerd) February 7, 2025 President Trump and Elon are right to halt funding to USAID. Under Biden, USAID was weaponized to advance leftwing causes globally, boost …
DAYTON, Ohio (WDTN) — In 106 days, NATO’s Parliamentary Assembly will flock to downtown Dayton. Over Memorial Day weekend this year, international delegates will visit Dayton, and part of the downtown area will be transformed into what is being called “NATO Village.” Dayton venues announced for 2025 NATO Parliamentary Assembly Officials say this area will …
The Justice Department will launch an inquiry into the individuals and networks stealing government property and threatening government employees. Ed Martin, the Acting US Attorney for DC, sent Elon Musk a letter informing him that he will be launching an inquiry after a referral from DOGE. “Thank you for the referral of individuals and networks …
Elon Musk’s DOGE team entered the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau headquarters on Friday – and staffers are pissed off! “Elon Musk’s team on Friday entered the headquarters of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau on Friday, sources tell us,” Politico reported. According to Politico, at least 3 of Elon Musk’s DOGE workers are now “senior advisors” …
Slowly, the unprecedented payrolls fabrication of the Biden administration, which we spent much of the past 4 years exposing to our readers, is starting to unravel. Earlier today, the BLS confirmed what we previewed last night (see “Tomorrow’s Jobs Report Will Finally Capture The Surge In Illegal Aliens, Lead To Another Big Negative Payrolls Revision“), …
Sean Duffy didn’t just call her out—he obliterated her nonsense with facts. The way she’s scrambling, lashing out at DOGE for exposing USAID corruption, tells you everything. I know you’re lashing out because DOGE is uncovering your family’s obscene grifting via USAID, but I won’t let you lie and distort facts. The FAA administrator announced …
Stop laughing — CNN is a SERIOUS news channel reporting on the most pressing issues of our day! — ALX 🇺🇸 (@alx) February 7, 2025
USAID staff are fighting back. Two unions representing USAID employees on Thursday filed a lawsuit over the cuts against Trump, Rubio and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, the agency, the State Department and the Treasury Department. ‘What we’re seeing is an unlawful seizure of this agency by the Trump administration in a plain violation of basic …
It’s going to get interesting, during an economic downturn PM’s generally suffer, but if there is no physical for these bullion banks the paper market is very likely going to break. We might see the real value of Ag and Au h/t Adventurous_Bit1715
BBC Link From X: seriously, politico, NPR, AP newswire, all paid big money by the US gov’t. now BBC turns out to get 8% of it’s revenue from US grants through a charity cutout. this is how the lockstep talking point complex was funded and kept in line. USAID was the beating heart of the …
More tariff news is coming, and that means traders are already gaming out the next big shockwave. The volatility move is setting up right in front of us, but most people won’t see it until it’s too late. The market is priced for perfection, but the rug pull is coming. If you’re not paying attention, …
New York Post – The NCAA has officially changed its gender eligibility policies to ban all biological males from women’s sports one day after President Donald Trump signed an executive order to address the issue. The governing body of college sports announced on Thursday afternoon its new participation policy for transgender student-athletes. “A student-athlete assigned male at birth may not compete on …
JOE ROGAN: MAINSTREAM MEDIA CAN'T COMPETE WITH X "If you look at a viral post on X, a viral post about something that's very important, that has to do with USAID, you will see 7 million, 8 million views, 10 million views. There's nothing equivalent like that to mainstream… https://t.co/VxtLptM5NL pic.twitter.com/szdpO7bIL0 — Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) …
