June PPI shows 0% growth. Tariff shock absent. Foreign exporters are absorbing costs. No domestic inflation signal yet.

The Producer Price Index for June showed a 0% month-over-month change. No growth. No contraction. Just flat. This comes three and a half months after the April tariff wave, giving producers time to adapt. And yet, there’s no visible inflation showing up in the data. That reveals something important, foreign

Retail sales jump 0.6%. Import prices fall. Jobless claims drop to 221K. Inflation cools. Fed has room to cut.

The economic data released this morning, July 17, 2025 at 08:30am ET, paints a clear picture: inflation is not accelerating. It’s cooling, and the Fed has breathing room. Import prices rose just 0.1% month-over-month in June, with the year-over-year rate at -0.2%. That’s deflationary. Export prices jumped 0.5% MoM and

June PPI came in flat at 0.0%. Year-over-year cooled to 2.3%. Fed holding at 4.33%. Last time numbers were this soft, they cut 50bps pre-election. Powell hesitating again.

June’s inflation report came in cool and quiet. Producer Price Index printed 0.0% month-over-month. That’s no movement at all. Consensus was for a 0.2% climb. Core PPI, which excludes food and energy, also showed zero change. Year-over-year headline inflation eased to 2.3%. Core year-over-year landed at 2.5%. Both figures came

The Cost Of Living Is Out Of Control

by Michael Do you feel financial stress on a regular basis? If so, you are certainly not alone. As you will see below, a new survey has discovered that more than two-thirds of the entire country is feeling “anxiety and depression” due to financial stress. The cost of living is

CPI jumps to 2.7%. 30-year Treasury yield breaks 5%. Bezos files to sell $1.5B in $AMZN stock. Inflation trend is clear. Fed rate cut odds collapse.

Inflation is back on the move. The June CPI came in at 2.7%, marking the first upside surprise in five months and the highest print since February. Core CPI ticked up to 2.9%. Monthly inflation accelerated to 0.3%, up from 0.1% in May. Gasoline dropped, but everything else climbed. Shelter

Asia’s deflation wave is real. China’s PPI down 3.6%. Japan softens. ASEAN flooded with cheap goods. The second phase has begun.

Asia’s deflation wave is no longer a theory. It’s a measurable shift. In June 2025, China’s producer price index dropped 3.6% year over year. That marks the sharpest contraction since July 2023 and extends the deflation streak to 33 consecutive months. The cost of production materials fell 4.4%. Mining prices

Parents spend 22% of income on child care. Infant care now costs more than college in 28 states. Families work to afford lives they barely live.

It’s July 10 and the numbers are locked. The average American parent is spending 22% of household income on child care. That’s triple the federal affordability benchmark of 7%. Weekly costs for center-based infant care now sit at $343, up 6.9% from last year. Family care centers are charging $344,

New mortgage rules let rent count toward home loans

The Federal Housing Finance Agency just cleared a major shift in mortgage qualification rules. Rent payments can now be counted toward mortgage applications, a change aimed at broadening access for renters hoping to buy homes. This move coincides with the return of 40-year adjustable-rate mortgages, offering longer terms but variable

Job market stalls in eerie replay of pre-crisis calm

Job openings are falling. Unemployment is flat.We’ve seen this movie before. The 2020–2025 labor market setup is starting to rhyme with 2007, when JOLTS rolled over quietly, and the unemployment rate held steady… until it didn’t. Not a perfect correlation yet, but one H2… pic.twitter.com/lCiYvZUDqL — Kurt S. Altrichter, CRPS®