Banks would lose $541 billion in ‘hard landing’ contingency: Fed
The Federal Reserve said Thursday that banks are well capitalized enough to endure a severe recession but stand to lose $541 billion if the economy heads south.
The findings came from the Fed’s annual stress test of the banking sector, which is based on major hypothetical declines in economic conditions, including a 40-percent drop in real estate prices and widespread office vacancies.
“The $541 billion in total projected losses includes over $100 billion in losses from commercial real estate and residential mortgages,” Fed officials found, noting the loss would represent a 2.3-percentage point decline in total capital.
Bank of America would lose $54 billion, Capital One would lose $46 billion, and JPMorgan Chase would lose $72.9 billion. Altogether, the top 23 banks would lose more than $424 billion in loans, the Fed said.
Gains will be erased.
Retail has been wonderful exit liquidity for big players. pic.twitter.com/IeiGNM5z6Z
— HOZ (@MFHoz) July 3, 2023
Most investors believe there will be no recession in 2023, per CNBC.
— unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) July 3, 2023
What happens when you grow up in an era of bailout after bailout?
When recessions are glossed over with printed money?
When banks get a wrist slap for fraud?
Land of the this-should-be-free, home of the bravely entitled pic.twitter.com/HpBcmb6Ssx
— Amy Nixon (@texasrunnerDFW) July 3, 2023
Bloomberg: Real Estate a “Debt Time Bomb” pic.twitter.com/V9zvBAcIum
— Peter St Onge, Ph.D. (@profstonge) July 3, 2023
KC Fed paper: "We find that monetary policy has only been restrictive since 2023:Q1."
"We find that to bring inflation down to 2%, the Federal Reserve may have to keep the federal funds rate in restrictive territory for some time." https://t.co/KeVGNDvoCK pic.twitter.com/FtwIsnVa3r
— Nick Timiraos (@NickTimiraos) July 3, 2023