President Biden is the frontrunner in a hypothetical matchup against former President Trump for the first time since October, as positive views of the economy inch up — hitting their highest level thus far in the Biden presidency, according to a new Fox News national survey.
Since May, there was a 3-point change in the presidential race. Trump was ahead by 1 point last month, while Biden is up by 2 points today: 50%-48%. That’s well within the margin of error.
Beyond improved evaluations of the economy, a range of other events since the May survey could influence small shifts in vote preference, including Trump’s hush money conviction, Hunter Biden’s gun trial conviction, a positive U.S. jobs report and Biden’s immigration executive order.
Biden’s current 50% support is his best this election cycle; he hasn’t been ahead of Trump since October 2023 and that was by just 1 point (49%-48%).
www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-three-point-shift-biden-trump-matchup-since-may
🇺🇲 2024 GE: @foxnewspoll
March
🟥 Trump: 50% (+5)
🟦 Biden: 45%
.
May
🟥 Trump: 49% (+1)
🟦 Biden: 48%
.
JUNE
🟦 Biden: 50% (+2)
🟥 Trump: 48%Net 7 point swing towards Biden
538: #15 (2.8/3.0) | 6/14-17 | 1,095 RV t.co/Xltq8npE4X pic.twitter.com/BtS1hsUj3Q
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) June 19, 2024