I see articles like this every day now. These are huge red flags that we are very late in this business cycle.

We have fully realized the vision where GDP grows and bottom half gets none of it. Not technically a recession.

Most Americans falsely think the U.S. is in recession

• According to a new Guardian/Harris poll, 56% of respondents said they believe the U.S. is in a recession.
• A recession is an extended period of economic decline, usually designated when the gross domestic product has declined for two or more consecutive fiscal quarters.
• The Guardian/Harris poll comes less than six months before the November election, in which President Joe Biden will face former President Donald Trump.

More than half of Americans think the United States is in an economic recession, although gross domestic product has been increasing for the past several years.

According to a new Guardian/Harris poll, 56% of respondents said they believe the U.S. is in a recession and 58% say that President Joe Biden is responsible for what they see as an economic downturn.

A recession is an extended period of economic decline, usually designated when GDP has declined for two or more consecutive fiscal quarters.

Under those terms, the U.S. is definitively not in a recession.

GDP grew by 1.6% in the first quarter of 2024. Granted, that is a decelerated rate from the 3.3% growth of the fourth quarter of 2023, but it is not recessionary. U.S. GDP growth has been outpacing that of other developed nations.