Markets tanked in 1Q18, 1Q20, 1Q22. And there are signs everywhere that the pattern is going to hold into 1Q24.

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https://creditbubblebulletin.blogspot.com/2023/12/weekly-commentary-2023-year-in-review.html

Amazingly, the MMF complex has become the predominant financier to one of history’s greatest leveraged speculations – a speculative Bubble now at the heart of ongoing government finance Bubble “terminal phase” excess. Even more stunning is the lax regulatory environment for such a critical – with well-recognized vulnerability – financial system focal point. And this follows an inexcusable breakdown in banking system regulatory oversight, when unprecedented monetary stimulus should have had the Fed and regulator community laser focused. One word we didn’t hear much from the Fed in 2023: “macro-prudential”.

IMO US Stock markets are performing a “double top” and will soon crash.

The potential is real. The FFF is predicting a 90% chance of rate cuts in March. There is no obvious reason for this to happen so soon therefore something bad must be going on behind the scenes. When this/these issues erupt, all hell will break loose.

FFF: https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html

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h/t mark000