Historic Contraction in M2 Money Supply and 3-Year Treasuries Decline Sparks Alarm in Financial Markets

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Financial markets are sounding the alarm bells as the M2 money supply experiences unprecedented levels of contraction. Notably, this is the first time in U.S. history that Treasuries have recorded three consecutive years of losses. The concern deepens with reports of a substantial rally in U.S. bonds last week, primarily driven by hedge funds that had amassed the largest short position in debt since 2006. Observers have noted that this scenario, with short positions on U.S. Treasuries at an extreme, posed a significant risk and could potentially trigger unexpected consequences.

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