Bloomberg has said: A US recession Is still likely — and coming soon; 1970s-style stagflation might return warns Deutsche Bank

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Deutsche Bank warns1970s-Style Stagflation May Be at Risk of Repeating Itself

Deutsche Bank warns of rising inflation risks reminiscent of the 1970s stagflation era, accentuated by recent geopolitical events like the Hamas attacks on Israel. Factors such as soaring oil prices, consistent inflation above target in major economies, and potential weather patterns like El Niño, known for driving up commodity prices, add to the concern. While current inflation indicators differ from the 1970s, the bank emphasizes the importance of not being complacent, referencing historical lessons where inflation surged due to premature policy easing.

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U.S. Small Business Sentiment Declined Again in September on Continued Concern Over Inflation

U.S. small business sentiment declined in September, according to the NFIB, due to inflation concerns and labor shortages. The optimism index remained below its historical average, with significant economic uncertainties and labor issues in sectors like construction and retail. Many businesses expect worsening conditions.