“Credit card debt has reached record highs after years of pandemic-era spending.
Credit card debt fell after the start of the pandemic but has consistently risen since mid-2021.
This data comes as inflation falls and the labor market remains strong.
Americans’ cash reserves have experienced a boom bust cycle in the last few years, and the latest data spells bad news.
Americans now hold a record level of credit card debt, according to recent data from the Federal Reserve. It comes as they see their pandemic savings and cushions depleted, and as the labor market cools from its red-hot post-vaccine highs.
It shows just how much direct stimulus spending bolstered the economy and created a group of workers accustomed to support that likely won’t come back — and it may spell even further economic doom as student loan bills get piled on.
This data all shows a disconnect between Americans running out of money and the broader economy. Even with wages trending higher, inflation coming down, and GDP expected to grow for the quarter, many Americans are still struggling to pay down their bills and maintain savings. Consumer confidence levels are at two-year highs, but paying off credit card debt remains a continued stressor.
If the pandemic was a great economic reckoning, and the year or so after marked by workers demanding better, the latest iteration of the economy might be best described as grumpy: Even strong economic data isn’t enough to keep Americans above water. After all, a strong jobs report or growing GDP can’t be cashed in when you’re paying for inflation-driven markups at the grocery store.”
🇺🇸 US adults with more credit card debt than total savings
2021: 21%
2022: 27%
2023: 36%
(Source: Bankrate)
— The Spectator Index (@spectatorindex) August 2, 2023
Everybody today is talking about what was an "inevitable" development, but let me explain to you the implications of the US Sovereign downgrade:
Higher yields will mean "much" higher interest expenses, leading to a higher fiscal deficit.
Loose fiscal policy will lead to a… pic.twitter.com/PpW8m9D9mx
— Wall Street Silver (@WallStreetSilv) August 3, 2023
JPMORGAN CEO DIMON: THE FED MIGHT HAVE TO GO A LITTLE HIGHER ON RATES.
— Breaking Market News (@financialjuice) August 2, 2023
Differing sentiment among haves & have nots 📈📉 pic.twitter.com/Eq61jtr62J
— Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) July 29, 2023
REAL GDI
Signal is good predictor for 75 yrs pic.twitter.com/tNeu2bEtab
— Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) July 23, 2023
The recession model developed by Harvard PhD Arturo Estrella has the odds of a recession in the next 12 months (between July of 2023 and July of 2024) at 99.82%.
I know your push-up bra TikTok economists and IG RE course couples are smarter though…
Respect the lag. pic.twitter.com/Rst54BdN5V
— Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) August 3, 2023
Out of the last 8 yield curve inversions, 7 ended after the Fed started cutting rates. The only exception was 2007 when the T-bill market acted first. In all 8 cases, recessions followed. pic.twitter.com/tYROpBKQ2N
— Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) August 3, 2023
Imagine that @m3_melody @texasrunnerDFW
ht @biancoresearch pic.twitter.com/uBYJuXs8MP
— Danielle DiMartino Booth (@DiMartinoBooth) August 3, 2023
US credit rating downgraded over rising debt, ‘standards of governance’
This time is different? pic.twitter.com/9NhcqiFbhH
— Longview Economics (@Lvieweconomics) August 3, 2023