The Euphoriameter hit a record 1.1 points. An all-time high 43% of investors doubting a stock market crash. The Schiller P/E ratio has hit 23-year highs. Enjoy the euphoric exit pump!

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Nomura’s list of 6 potential gray swan events is pretty sobering tbh:

1. Nvidia crash
2. Carry implosion
3. US 10YY > 6%
4. US growth shock
5. Geopolitics gets out of hand
6. China stimulus falls short

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The mother of all bubbles. The US has never been so overhyped, relative to the rest of the world

In the 1980s the US was 30% of the global economy and 30% of the stock market

Now it is 27% of the global economy and 70% of the stock market

Schrödinger’s market

If bullish then cup & handle pattern completed look up

If bearish then cup completed bull trap look down

Notice bias precondition subconsciously influence interpretation

Pay attention when BOJ hike rate 10Y3M uninverted positive

Enjoy euphoric exit pump!

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