SEG – premium NYC RE assets on 80% fire sale

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Never bet against premium NYC RE assets; they can occasionally look depressing (e.g. 911, GFC, and Covid) but almost always bounce back stronger. That, besides research work, supported my investment case in Vornado Realty ($VNO) in 2023 when the market believed the NYC office was dead. It has been a 2x in 1 year, and I’m still long.

Today, I introduce a recent spin-off from a large RE Community developer, Howard Hughes ($HHH). Over the last decade, it spent over $1Bn capital acquiring and developing one-of-a-kind RE assets in a premium NYC area. It is priced, on an adjusted Enterprise Value basis, 80% off its invested capital.

See also  Mark Charles Bashaw There needs to be accountability for the wake of destruction that has occurred during this belligerence!

Spinoff, rights, Cap table

 

SEG is a Howard Hughes ($HHH) spin-off announced in July. It includes a collection of RE assets, primarily in NYC and Las Vegas.

The spin-off comes with a $175Mn rights offering ($25/share, 7Mn shares) backstopped by Bill Ackman ( 37.5% owner). It was launched in September and closed1 (over-subscribed) on Oct 10.

It has 12.7Mn shares, 5.7Mn from the spin-off, and 7Mn from the rights. At $31/share (10/22/2024), its market cap is ~$390Mn. With its $175Mn rights offering raise and $85Mn net debts ($100Mn debts, $10Mn preferred, ~$25Mn cash), enterprise value is $300Mn.

Its $100Mn non-recourse debts are secured by 2 assets (250 Water and Ballpark); thus a $200Mn adjusted enterprise value, as debts can be deducted from asset value.

MORE:

underhood.substack.com/p/nyc-premium-re-assets-at-a-80-fire


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