Mark Halperin — Many republican strategists believe Trump has already locked up victory. Data on absentee and early votes look good for Trump.

"There are not an insignificant number of Republicans who say the race is effectively over," says @MarkHalperin. "That, as I reported a month ago, Trump is going to lock up the Sunbelt states, probably all four, but at least three. And then he’s going to win Pennsylvania, and… pic.twitter.com/fs4XTtDskL

— 2WAY (@2waytvapp) October 8, 2024

Trump leads by 6 in Texas and 13 in Florida in NYT Siena poll. Nate Cohn is making excuses.

https://archive.is/fpBw8

Crosstabs from NY Times poll.

https://archive.is/Sdr8d