Market Pricing Signals A 100% Probability Of US Recession

🚨MARKET PRICING SIGNALS A 100% PROBABILITY OF US RECESSION🚨

The market is currently pricing in over 2.00% Fed rate cuts within 12 months, the most since the Financial Crisis.

This implies a 100% probability of a recession in the next 12 months, according to Goldman Sachs. pic.twitter.com/AHZtUBrZ3Z

— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) September 22, 2024

New tenant rents are collapsing for the first time since the Great Financial Crisis.

Translated: Working families can afford better homes to rent. pic.twitter.com/8YszINqYlm

— Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) September 22, 2024

The law of diminishing returns kicks in big time now.

2008 they printed $3.5 trillion for 12yrs
2020 they printed $5 trillion for 4yrs
2024 they'll have to print $10 trillion for 1.5yrs

Notice how the boom cycles are getting shorter.
2x more money printing for 3x shorter cycle t.co/CLyxYwAoLM pic.twitter.com/IM8FzabKEh

— Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) September 22, 2024

CAN THE FED AVOID A RECESSION?

Fed cut rates by 0.50% on September 18, in the largest surprise since 2008.

Stocks usually fall ~15% within 12 months following the 1st cut if there is a recession.

If the economy avoids a recession, stocks rise over 10%👇t.co/uPmnoHiZaB

— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) September 23, 2024